A Bayesian approach for evaluation of the effect of water quality model parameter uncertainty on TMDLs: A case study of Miyun Reservoir
详细信息 查看全文
- 作者：Shidong Lianga ; emblembl@sina.com" class="auth_mail" title="E-mail the corresponding author ; Haifeng Jiaa ; jhf@tsinghua.edu.cn" class="auth_mail" title="E-mail the corresponding author ; Changqing Xua ; 2008changqing@163.com" class="auth_mail" title="E-mail the corresponding author ; Te Xua ; xt_lichking@qq.com" class="auth_mail" title="E-mail the corresponding author ; Charles Melchingb ; steve.melching17@gmail.com" class="auth_mail" title="E-mail the corresponding author
- 关键词：TMDL ; Water quality model ; Parameter uncertainty analysis ; Bayesian approach ; DiffeRential Evolution Adaptive Metropolis (DREAM) ; EFDC
- 刊名：Science of the Total Environment
- 出版年：2016
- 出版时间：1 August 2016
- 年：2016
- 卷：560-561
- 期：Complete
- 页码：44-54
- 全文大小：1477 K
文摘
- •
Effect of water quality model parameter uncertainty on TMDLs was evaluated.
- •
A Bayesian approach was used for the model parameter uncertainty analysis.
- •
DREAM algorithm, a multi-chain MCMC, was used as the Bayesian approach.
- •
Miyun Reservoir, the most important drinking water source for Beijing, was studied.
- •
Wide ranges of allowable loads were obtained through uncertainty propagation.