Range increment or range detriment? Predicting potential changes in distribution caused by climate change for the endemic high-Andean lizard Phymaturus palluma
We assess and predict the vulnerability to climate change of an endemic lizard of the Central Andes highlands. We used an eco-physiological model to predict for Phymaturus palluma a present and future distribution range. Our model predicts reduction in the current range and new potential distribution areas. The likelihood of a range expansion to these new sites is marginal. Thus, range shifts are unlikely to prevent extinction. Conservation strategies should be focused in the protection of current range that remain suitable in future projections.