Intraday analysis of macroeconomic news surprises and asymmetries in mini-futures markets
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文摘
The impact, response as well as magnitude- and directional-asymmetries of macroeconomic announcements to futures markets is highly significant. The impact of announcements is higher for volume- than price-returns. The impact of unanticipated surprise is negative for commodities futures in price-returns and for all futures markets in volume-returns. The impact of the surprise component is positive for all three futures markets and in both price- and volume-returns. The results for 8:30 do not differ to those for 10:00 announcements in terms of significance and magnitude.

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