Hydrological modeling and climate change impacts in an agricultural semiarid region. Case study: Guadalupe River basin, Mexico
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- 作者：Eugenio Molina-Navarroa ; b ; eugenio.molinanavarro@gmail.com" class="auth_mail" title="E-mail the corresponding author ; Michelle Hallack-Alegrí ; ab ; c ; mhallack@uabc.edu.mx" class="auth_mail" title="E-mail the corresponding author ; Silvia Martí ; nez-Pé ; reza ; silvia.martinez@uah.es" class="auth_mail" title="E-mail the corresponding author ; Jorge Ramí ; rez-Herná ; ndezd ; jorger@uabc.edu.mx" class="auth_mail" title="E-mail the corresponding author ; Alejandro Mungaray-Moctezumac ; alejandro.mungaray@uabc.edu.mx" class="auth_mail" title="E-mail the corresponding author ; Antonio Sastre-Merlí ; na ; antonio.sastre@uah.es" class="auth_mail" title="E-mail the corresponding author
- 关键词：Climate change ; Hydrological modeling ; Mexico ; Semiarid ; SWAT ; Water management
- 刊名：Agricultural Water Management
- 出版年：2016
- 出版时间：September 2016
- 年：2016
- 卷：175
- 期：Complete
- 页码：29-42
- 全文大小：3977 K
文摘
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We modeled the hydrology in an agricultural semiarid basin located in northwest Mexico.
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We checked for the potential effects of climate change on its water availability.
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Climate change will have a noticeable impact on river flow, decreasing up to −60%.
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The model also predicted a reduction of aquifer recharge up to −74%.
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Compared with dry and normal years, wet years will be the most affected.