Use of MCMC to incorporate a wind power model for the evaluation of generating capacity adequacy
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- 作者：Abdulaziz Almutairi ; a4almuta@uwaterloo.ca" class="auth_mail" title="E-mail the corresponding author ; Mohamed Hassan Ahmed m2sadek@ece.uwaterloo.ca" class="auth_mail" title="E-mail the corresponding author ; M.M.A. Salama m.salama@ece.uwaterloo.ca" class="auth_mail" title="E-mail the corresponding author
- 关键词：Generating capacity adequacy assessment ; Markov chain Monte Carlo ; Synthetic wind power/speed model
- 刊名：Electric Power Systems Research
- 出版年：2016
- 出版时间：April 2016
- 年：2016
- 卷：133
- 期：Complete
- 页码：63-70
- 全文大小：891 K
文摘
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A sequential adequacy assessment framework is proposed to incorporate wind farm model into the conventional generation.
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Wind power time series from MCMC model is combined with the conventional generation capacity from the sequential MCS method.
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The reliability indices obtained using the MCMC model is compared with those produced by the ARMA model.