Climate and health: Observation and modeling of malaria in the Ferlo (Senegal)
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- 作者：Ibrahima Diouf ; Abdoulaye Deme ; Jacques-Andr¨¦ Ndione ; Amadou Thierno Gaye ; Bel¨¦n Rodr¨ªguez-Fonseca ; Moustapha Ciss¨¦
- 关键词：Climate ; Modelling ; Malaria ; Ferlo ; Senegal ; West Africa
- 刊名：Comptes Rendus Biologies
- 出版年：2013
- 出版时间：May-June, 2013
- 年：2013
- 卷：336
- 期：5-6
- 页码：253-260
- 全文大小：3182 K
文摘
The aim of this work, undertaken in the framework of QWeCI (Quantifying Weather and Climate Impacts on health in the developing countries) project, is to study how climate variability could influence malaria seasonal incidence. It will also assess the evolution of vector-borne diseases such as malaria by simulation analysis of climate models according to various climate scenarios for the next years. Climate variability seems to be determinant for the risk of malaria development (Freeman and Bradley, 1996 , Lindsay and Birley, 1996 , Kuhn et al., 2005 ). Climate can impact on the epidemiology of malaria by several mechanisms, directly, via the development rates and survival of both pathogens and vectors, and indirectly, through changes in vegetation and land surface characteristics such as the variability of breeding sites like ponds.