Influence of climate variations on the epidemiology of bluetongue in sheep in Mainland China

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• 作者：Xiang Gao ; Hongbin Wang ; Hongyu Qin ; Jianhua Xiao ; ^{jhxiao1970@163.com}
• 关键词：BTV ; Climate variations ; Time-series adjusted Poisson regression ; Meteorological factors ; Interclass correlation coefficient ; Bayesian information criterion
• 刊名：Small Ruminant Research
• 出版年：2017
• 出版时间：January 2017
• 年：2017
• 卷：146
• 期：Complete
• 页码：23-27
• 全文大小：728 K
• 卷排序：146

文摘

Change trend of disease cases is associated with the meteorological factors. An adjusted Poisson model was used to assess impacts of climate variations. Temperature showed significantly positively effect on disease occurrences. Rainfall showed limited positively effect on the prevalence of the disease. Meteorological factors can be used to estimate disease occurrences in future.