Modeling the potential effects of sea-level rise on the coast of New York: Integrating mechanistic accretion and stochastic uncertainty
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- 作者：Jonathan Clough ; jclough@warrenpinnacle.com" class="auth_mail" title="E-mail the corresponding author ; Amy Polaczyk apolaczyk@warrenpinnacle.com" class="auth_mail" title="E-mail the corresponding author ; Marco Propato mpropato@warrenpinnacle.com" class="auth_mail" title="E-mail the corresponding author
- 关键词：Sea-level rise ; Accretion ; Uncertainty ; SLAMM ; New York
- 刊名：Environmental Modelling & Software
- 出版年：2016
- 出版时间：October 2016
- 年：2016
- 卷：84
- 期：Complete
- 页码：349-362
- 全文大小：1988 K
文摘
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Marsh fate modeling was applied to coastal NY State at a 5 m horizontal resolution.
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Simulation results predict extensive marsh losses in microtidal regimes.
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Results also indicate changes in the composition of marsh types.
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An uncertainty estimation of model results was also reported on.
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Uncertainty results suggest output variability is primarily due to SLR signal.