Deviations from the planned parotid gland mean dose (PG ΔDmean) were estimated for 113 head and neck cancer patients by re-calculating plans on repeat CT scans. Uni- and multivariable linear regression analyses were performed to select pre-treatment parameters, and ROC curve analysis was used to determine cut off values, for selecting patients with a PG dose deviation larger than 3 Gy. The patient selection method was validated in a second patient cohort of 43 patients.
After multivariable analysis, the planned PG Dmean remained the only significant parameter for PG ΔDmean. A sensitivity of 91% and 80% could be obtained using a threshold of PG Dmean of 22.2 Gy, for the development and validation cohorts, respectively. This would spare 38% (development cohort) and 24% (validation cohort) of patients from the labour-intensive ART procedure.
The presented method to select patients for ART pre-treatment reduces the labour of ART, contributing to a more effective allocation of the department resources.