Business case uncertainty of power plants in future energy systems with wind power
详细信息 查看全文
- 作者：Anne Sjoerd Brouwera ; b ; a.s.brouwer@uu.nl" class="auth_mail" title="E-mail the corresponding author ; Machteld van den Broeka ; Ö ; zge Ö ; zdemirb ; Paul Koutstaalb ; André ; Faaijc
- 关键词：CCS ; Carbon capture and storage ; EU ; European union ; FO&M ; Fixed operation and maintenance ; GIS ; Geographic information system ; GT ; Gas turbine ; IDC ; Interest during construction ; IEA ; International energy agency ; iRES ; Intermittent renewable energy sources ; LCOE ; Levelized cost of electricity ; LP ; Linear programming ; MIP ; Mixed integer programming ; NG ; Natural gas ; NGCC ; Natural gas combined cycle ; NGCC&ndash ; CCS ; Natural gas combined cycle with CCS ; NL ; The Netherlands ; NPV ; Net present value
- 刊名：Energy Policy
- 出版年：2016
- 出版时间：February 2016
- 年：2016
- 卷：89
- 期：Complete
- 页码：237-256
- 全文大小：5220 K
文摘
- •
The operation of thermal power plants is affected by CO2 prices and wind power.
- •
A new tool quantifies the effect of their uncertainty on power plant profitability.
- •
New power plants are unprofitable and show a large spread in expected profits.
- •
Uncertain future climate policy is a key factor in all business cases (±56% change).
- •
Increasing wind power penetration (10–21%) decreases profitability by 14%.