We searched for RCTs of monotherapy oral drugs for bipolar depression.
We investigated the impact of placebo response rates on the relative risk of response to drug versus placebo.
Higher placebo response rates correlate with a lower risk ratio of response to drug versus placebo.
Studies with placebo response rates >30% have a worse performance in showing a superiority of the drug versus placebo.
Placebo response rates should be maintained below the threshold of 30%.