A grey neural network and input-output combined forecasting model. Primary energy consumption forecasts in Spanish economic sectors
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- 作者：Xiuli Liua ; b ; Blanca Morenoc ; morenob@uniovi.es" class="auth_mail" title="E-mail the corresponding author ; Ana Salomé ; Garcí ; ac
- 关键词：Primary energy consumption ; Combined forecasting model ; Input-output ; Grey methods
- 刊名：Energy
- 出版年：2016
- 出版时间：15 November 2016
- 年：2016
- 卷：115
- 期：part_P1
- 页码：1042-1054
- 全文大小：569 K
文摘
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Forecasting System Using Grey Models combined with Input-Output Models is proposed.
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Primary energy consumption in Spain is used to validate the model.
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The grey-based combined model has good forecasting performance.
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Natural gas will represent the majority of the total of primary energy consumption.
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Concerns about security of supply, energy cost and industry competitiveness are raised.