Split-time method for estimation of probability of capsizing caused by pure loss of stability
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文摘

Multi-years development of split-time method for capsizing probability is reviewed.

Capsizing is upcrossing of intermediate level and transition to capsized equilibrium.

Upcrossing relates probability and time of exposure.

Motion perturbation at upcrossing instant yields metric of likelihood of capsizing.

Generalized Pareto distribution is used to extrapolate the metric.

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