Assessing drought risk in Mediterranean Dehesa grazing lands

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• 作者：Eva Iglesias^c ; ^{eva.iglesias@upm.es" class="auth_mail" title="E-mail the corresponding author} ; Karen Bá ; ez^a ; Carlos H. Diaz-Ambrona^b
• 关键词：Drought risk ; Bioeconomic model ; Rangeland ; Grazing livestock ; Adaptation strategies
• 刊名：Agricultural Systems
• 出版年：2016
• 出版时间：November 2016
• 年：2016
• 卷：149
• 期：Complete
• 页码：65-74
• 全文大小：1537 K

文摘

<dl class="listitem" id="list_l0005"><dt class="label">•dt><dd>

d="p0005">We develop a bioeconomic model to assess drought risk in extensive livestock systems.

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d="p0010">Our findings help to understand how climate risk translates into economic losses.

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d="p0015">We propose the use of Value-at-Risk to assess the severity of drought.

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d="p0020">We find the farm confronts potential economic losses above 23% with 5% probability.

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d="p0025">Scenario analysis shows that stoking rate significantly affects risk exposure.

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