Simple, policy friendly, ecological interaction models from uncertain data and expert opinion
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- 作者：Richard Stafforda ; b ; rstafford@bournemouth.ac.uk" class="auth_mail" title="E-mail the corresponding author ; Rachel L. Williamsc ; Roger J.H. Herberta
- 关键词：Rocky shore ; Predictive model ; Sparse data ; Marine management ; Fisheries ; Bayesian belief network ; Conservation
- 刊名：Ocean & Coastal Management
- 出版年：2015
- 出版时间：December 2015
- 年：2015
- 卷：118
- 期：part_PA
- 页码：88-96
- 全文大小：832 K
文摘
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Marine policy can involve crude measures of population changes (e.g. decreasing).
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Data on species interactions can be poor and difficult to model.
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We create models to predict species decline using limited knowledge of interactions.
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We demonstrate expert groups can parameterise these models.
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Models correctly predict community changes, verified by experiments.