Modelling the impact of causal and non-causal factors on disruption duration for Toronto’s subway system: An exploratory investigation using hazard modelling

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• 作者：Jacob Louie ; M.Eng.^a ; ^{jacob.louie@mail.utoronto.ca} ; Amer Shalaby ; Ph.D. ; P.Eng.^b ; ^{amer@ecf.utoronto.ca} ; Khandker Nurul Habib ; Ph.D. ; P.Eng^b ; ^{khandker.nurulhabib@utoronto.ca}
• 关键词：Public transit ; Subway ; Service delay ; Service disruption ; Survival analysis
• 刊名：Accident Analysis & Prevention
• 出版年：2017
• 出版时间：January 2017
• 年：2017
• 卷：98
• 期：Complete
• 页码：232-240
• 全文大小：1261 K
• 卷排序：98

文摘

Hazard models with heterogeneity are investigated for subway delay duration. Effect of location, time, train type, personnel, and cause on duration is explored. Interchange stations had shorter durations; peak periods had insignificant effect. The new train type exacerbated durations. An intercom did not mitigate durations. Heterogeneity was best represented by train operator, rather than guard or vehicle.