The paper empirically models the shadow bank share of short-term business credit in the U.S.
Several variables are used to track various short- and long-term factors suggested by various strands of literature.
Capital and reserve requirement arbitrage—along with information costs—drive the shadow bank share in the long-run.
Deposit regulation, the economic outlook, event risks, and risk premia drive the shadow bank share in the short-run.
The shadow bank share is vulnerable to short-run liquidity shocks and is pro-cyclical as stressed in recent literature.