How fast will the registered nurse workforce grow through 2030? Projections in nine regions of the country

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• 作者：David I. Auerbach ; PhD^a ; ^{davea@alum.mit.edu} ; Peter ​I. Buerhaus ; PhD ; RN ; FAAN^a ; Douglas O. Staiger ; PhD^b ; ^c
• 关键词：Workforce ; Supply ; Registered Nurses
• 刊名：Nursing Outlook
• 出版年：2017
• 出版时间：January-February 2017
• 年：2017
• 卷：65
• 期：1
• 页码：116-122
• 全文大小：1183 K
• 卷排序：65

文摘

While national-level nursing supply is expected to grow in line with demand, significant differences are expected by region. We find dramatic differences in expected growth of the number of full-time equivalent registered nurses per capita: from zero expected growth in New England and in the Pacific regions between 2015 and 2030 to 40% growth in the East South Central region (Mississippi, Alabama, Tennessee, Kentucky) and in the West South Central region (Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Louisiana). Slower growing areas such as New England have an older current workforce and slower recent workforce entry relative to exit. The population of New England is also projected to be the most rapidly aging region, which could disproportionately increase demand at a time with slow expected growth in supply.