Improving scenario methods in infrastructure planning: A case study of long distance travel and mobility in the UK under extreme weather uncertainty and a changing climate

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• 作者：Alberto M Zanni^a ; ¹ ; ^{amz@albertomzanni.com}Author Vitae ; Murray Goulden^bAuthor Vitae ; Tim Ryley^dAuthor Vitae ; Robert Dingwall^b ; ^c ; ^eAuthor Vitae
• 关键词：Resilience ; Climate ; Transport ; Technology ; Discrete choice ; Scenarios
• 刊名：Technological Forecasting and Social Change
• 出版年：2017
• 出版时间：February 2017
• 年：2017
• 卷：115
• 期：Complete
• 页码：180-197
• 全文大小：485 K
• 卷排序：115

文摘

We analyse the impact of extreme weather on long distance travel and mobility. We apply a novel combination of qualitative and quantitative methods. A large range of variables is necessary for planning decisions. Most travellers would decide to travel nonetheless. Infrastructure resilience needs to improve to absorb demand.