US shale gas production outlook based on well roll-out rate scenarios
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- 作者：Ruud Weijermars ; R.Weijermars@TUDelft.nl" class="auth_mail
- 关键词：AEO ; Annual Energy Outlook ; Bcf ; billion cubic feet ; bcm ; billion cubic meter ; bcma ; bcm annually (in several plots in this article bcm equals bcma) ; BEG ; Bureau of Economic Geology ; DCF ; Discounted Cash Flow ; EIA ; Energy Information Agency ; ERR ; economically recoverable resources ; EUR ; estimated ultimate recovery ; GGM ; Global Gas Model ; GJ ; GigaJoule ; IRR ; Internal Rate of Return ; LNG ; liquefied natural gas ; Mcf ; 1000 cubic feet ; MMbbl ; million barrels ; Mmbtu ; million British thermal units ; MMc
- 刊名：Applied Energy
- 出版年：1 July 2014
- 年：2014
- 卷：124
- 期：Complete
- 页码：283-297
- 全文大小：4914 K
文摘
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Future gas production output from US shale plays up to 2025 is modeled.
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Three distinct drilling scenarios are assumed for the six major US shale plays.
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Cumulative US production output from the combined shale plays is quantified.
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Bottom-up model is compared with top-down NEMS forecasts.
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Our scenario models indicate that steady growth of US shale gas supply cannot be ascertained.