An inexact chance-constrained programming model for water quality management in Binhai New Area of Tianjin, China

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• 作者：Y.L. Xie¹ ; ^a ; ^{xieyulei850228@yahoo.com.cn} ; Y.P. Li ; ^a ; ^{yongping.li@iseis.org} ; G.H. Huang² ; ^a ; ^{gordon.huang@uregina.ca} ; Y.F. Li³ ; ^a ; ^{liyanfeng622@hotmail.com} ; L.R. Chen³ ; ^a ; ^{ilchen@lycos.com}
• 关键词：Chance-constrained ; Interval ; Management ; Policy analysis ; Regional economy ; Uncertainty ; Water quality
• 刊名：Science of the Total Environment
• 出版年：2011
• 出版时间：15 April 2011
• 年：2011
• 卷：409
• 期：10
• 页码：1757-1773
• 全文大小：1890 K

文摘

In this study, an inexact-chance-constrained water quality management (ICC-WQM) model is developed for planning regional environmental management under uncertainty. This method is based on an integration of interval linear programming (ILP) and chance-constrained programming (CCP) techniques. ICC-WQM allows uncertainties presented as both probability distributions and interval values to be incorporated within a general optimization framework. Complexities in environmental management systems can be systematically reflected, thus applicability of the modeling process can be highly enhanced. The developed method is applied to planning chemical-industry development in Binhai New Area of Tianjin, China. Interval solutions associated with different risk levels of constraint violation have been obtained. They can be used for generating decision alternatives and thus help decision makers identify desired policies under various system-reliability constraints of water environmental capacity of pollutant. Tradeoffs between system benefits and constraint-violation risks can also be tackled. They are helpful for supporting (a) decision of wastewater discharge and government investment, (b) formulation of local policies regarding water consumption, economic development and industry structure, and (c) analysis of interactions among economic benefits, system reliability and pollutant discharges.