Variance-based sensitivity analysis of a wind risk model - Model behaviour and lessons for forest modelling

详细信息    查看全文

• 作者：Tommaso Locatelli^a ; ^b ; ^{tom.locatelli@forestry.gsi.gov.uk} ; Stefano Tarantola^c ; Barry Gardiner^b ; Genevieve Patenaude^a
• 关键词：Method of Soboĺ ; Assessment of model performance ; Copula method ; Correlated variables
• 刊名：Environmental Modelling & Software
• 出版年：2017
• 出版时间：January 2017
• 年：2017
• 卷：87
• 期：Complete
• 页码：84-109
• 全文大小：7290 K
• 卷排序：87

文摘

The Soboĺ method for correlated variables is applied to a complex wind-risk model. The results are interpreted from the viewpoints of model users and modellers. The variance-based approach is sensitive to the variables correlation structure. Rooting depth and soil type provide minor contribution to the outputs variance. ForestGALES models the dynamics of wind damage to forest stands very effectively.