We calculated individual yearly changes using the largest annual FEV<sub>1sub> percent predicted (FEV<sub>1sub> % ) measurement in 20,644 patients (6–45 years old) included in the Epidemiologic Study of Cystic Fibrosis. We calculated yearly population changes using age-specific medians.
FEV<sub>1sub> % predicted decreased 1–3 points per year for individuals, with maximal decreases in 14–15 year olds. Population changes agreed with individual changes up to age 15; however after age 30, yearly population change approximated zero while individual FEV<sub>1sub> % predicted decreases were 1–2 points per year.
Adolescents have the greatest FEV<sub>1sub> % predicted decreases; however, loss of FEV<sub>1sub> is a persistent risk in 6–45 year old CF patients. Recognizing individual year-to-year changes may improve patient-specific care and may suggest new methods for measuring program quality.