Comparison of Italian and Hungarian Black Spot Ranking

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• 作者：A. Borsos^a ; ^{borsosa@sze.hu" class="auth_mail" title="E-mail the corresponding author} ; S. Cafiso^b ; C. D&rsquo ; Agostino^b ; D. Miletics^a
• 关键词：road safety ; safety ranking ; Empirical Bayes method
• 刊名：Transportation Research Procedia
• 出版年：2016
• 出版时间：2016
• 年：2016
• 卷：14
• 期：Complete
• 页码：2148-2157
• 全文大小：169 K

文摘

Black spot ranking is an important tool for finding the sites with potential safety improvement on the road network. The EU Directive on Road Infrastructure Safety Management also demands the ranking of high accident concentration sites. This paper gives an introduction to localizing high accident concentration sites and the indicators used by Italy and Hungary. Accident and traffic volume data are gathered for motorway sections from both countries. Safety ranking is made using two conventional indicators, absolute number of accidents and accident rate. A more sophisticated ranking using the Empirical Bayes method is applied. Expected average crash frequency with Empirical Bayes adjustment is calculated. Based on the estimation of the crash frequency, the Critical Crash Rate (CCR) was added to identify and rank black spots. This additional performance measure is able to take into account traffic volume as required by the EU Directive. Results of the Empirical Bayes method are compared with the conventional procedures. It is concluded that the results are not comparable; inasmuch as there are modifications in the order of black spots. Based on the comparison of results recommendations are given to change the practice in both countries.