All patients (n = 520) with MHV replacement on anticoagulation treatment were followed up prospectively regarding TE, major bleeding, and death at 2 anticoagulation centers during 2008 to 2011. The mean age was 69 years, 72% with aortic valve replacement, and time in therapeutic range 2.0 to 4.0 was 91%. The incidence of the combined end point of major bleeding, TE, and death increased sharply with each decreasing eGFR stratum: 5.5, 8.4, 16, and 32 per 100 patient-years for eGFR >60, 45 to 60, 30 to 45, and <30 mL/min per 1.73 m2, respectively. After multivariate adjustment for comorbidities, every unit decrease in eGFR increased the risk of major bleeding by 2%, death by 3%, and the combined end point by 1%. There was no association between eGFR and TE. There was an increased proportion of international normalized ratio >3.0 and >4.0 and decreasing time in therapeutic range for each decreasing eGFR stratum (P < .001 for trend). The hazard ratios of the combined end point for eGFR <30, 30 to 45, and 45 to 60 mL/min per 1.73 m2 were 3.2 (95% CI 1.8-5.6), 1.5 (95% CI 0.9-2.5), and 0.9 (95% CI 0.6-1.5), respectively, compared to eGFR >60 mL/min per 1.73 m2.
In patients with MHV on anticoagulation, eGFR is an independent predictor of major bleeding and death and not TE.