The Fed-induced political business cycle: Empirical evidence from a time-frequency view
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文摘

Wavelet analysis is harnessed to test the political business cycle theory.

We reexamine the opportunistic political business cycle in U.S. monetary policy.

The political business cycle is formally found in the famous Burns–Nixon era.

New evidence of its existence for the Volcker–Reagan era is also provided.

The central bank independence is shown to have strengthened in recent decades.

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