Using survival models to estimate bus travel times and associated uncertainties

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• 作者：Zhengyao Yu^a ; ^{zuy107@psu.edu} ; Jonathan S. Wood^b ; ^{jonathan.wood@sdstate.edu} ; Vikash V. Gayah^a ; ^{gayah@engr.psu.edu}
• 关键词：Bus travel time prediction ; Accelerated failure time survival models ; Bus travel time reliability ; Real-time transit information systems
• 刊名：Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies
• 出版年：2017
• 出版时间：January 2017
• 年：2017
• 卷：74
• 期：Complete
• 页码：366-382
• 全文大小：1361 K
• 卷排序：74

文摘

Models describe bus travel times and travel time uncertainty simultaneously. Linear and survival model frameworks estimated and compared. Both models estimate expected bus travel times equally well. Survival models better described uncertainty associated with bus travel time estimates.