An Analysis of Present Situation and Future Trend about the Energy Consumption of Chinese Agriculture Sector

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• 作者：Yanzheng Lu ^{luyanzhengdlut@yahoo.cn} ; Hailin Mu ^{hailinmu@dlut.edu.cn} ; Huanan Li ^{huanan3721@163.com}
• 关键词：Energy consumption ; agriculture ; DoseResp ; growth curve ; energy scenario
• 刊名：Procedia Environmental Sciences
• 出版年：2011
• 出版时间：2011
• 年：2011
• 卷：11
• 期：Complete
• 页码：1400-1406
• 全文大小：402 K

文摘

Recently, China is enhancing the agricultural mechanization. Meanwhile, the agricultural energy consumption is rising along with it. So many scholars are paying their attention on the energy consumption of Chinese agriculture sector. This paper is based on the data of the energy consumption of Chinese agriculture in 1991-2008. First, the present situation about the energy consumption of Chinese agriculture is analyzed. Then the DoseResp growth curve is used for the energy scenario analysis of the future trend about the energy consumption of Chinese agriculture. The results of the research indicate that firstly the energy consumption of Chinese agriculture conforms to the DoseResp growth curve. Secondly, according to the energy scenario A, the peak value of the energy consumption of Chinese agriculture is 148.73948 million-tons TCE in 2065. Thirdly, according to the energy scenario B, the peak value of the energy consumption of Chinese agriculture is 205.52559 million-tons TCE in 2067.