Cross-border homicide impacts on economic activity in El Paso

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• 作者：Pedro Ni?o Jr. ; Roberto A. Coronado ; Thomas M. Fullerton Jr.…
• 关键词：Homicides ; Border economics ; Applied econometrics ; M21 ; Business economics ; R11 ; Regional economic activity ; R15 ; Regional econometrics
• 刊名：Empirical Economics
• 出版年：2015
• 出版时间：December 2015
• 年：2015
• 卷：49
• 期：4
• 页码：1543-1559
• 全文大小：552 KB
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• 作者单位：Pedro Ni?o Jr. (1)
  Roberto A. Coronado (2)
  Thomas M. Fullerton Jr. (3)
  Adam G. Walke (3)
  
  1. CBRE Group, Inc., Suite 2100, 221 North Kansas Street, El Paso, TX, 79901, USA
  2. Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, 301 East Main Street, El Paso, TX, 79901, USA
  3. Department of Economics and Finance, University of Texas at El Paso, El Paso, TX, 79968-0543, USA
  
• 刊物主题：Econometrics; Statistics for Business/Economics/Mathematical Finance/Insurance; Economic Theory;
• 出版者：Springer Berlin Heidelberg
• ISSN：1435-8921

文摘

Drug-related homicides in Ciudad Juárez drastically increased beginning in 2008. Few studies have been carried out which assess the economic impacts of crime and homicides. Furthermore, the existing literature generally lacks regional assessment efforts. Because of geographical proximity and close economic ties, this paper reviews some of the potential impacts the Ciudad Juárez homicides may have on the El Paso regional economy. A time series data approach is employed to quantify links between organized crime homicides in Ciudad Juárez and economic conditions in El Paso as measured by the metropolitan business cycle index and total nonagricultural employment. Findings indicate that fluctuations in the number of Ciudad Juárez homicides impact both variables in statistically significant manners at multiple time lags. Keywords Homicides Border economics Applied econometrics