Scenario prediction of changes in water balance components in the Lena Basin in the context of possible climate changes

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• 作者：E. M. Gusev ; O. N. Nasonova ; L. Ya. Dzhogan
• 关键词：water balance components ; climate change scenarios ; interaction between land surface and the atmosphere ; physically based simulation ; global databases ; Lena R. basin
• 刊名：Water Resources
• 出版年：2016
• 出版时间：September 2016
• 年：2016
• 卷：43
• 期：5
• 页码：754-765
• 全文大小：1,908 KB
• 刊物类别：Earth and Environmental Science
• 刊物主题：Earth sciences
  Hydrogeology
  Waste Water Technology, Water Pollution Control, Water Management and Aquatic Pollution
  Russian Library of Science
  
• 出版者：MAIK Nauka/Interperiodica distributed exclusively by Springer Science+Business Media LLC.
• ISSN：1608-344X
• 卷排序：43

文摘

The dynamics of meteorological elements in the Lena R. Basin is predicted for the XXI century under four IPCC global scenarios of SRES family, corresponding to specified scenarios of the economic, technological, political, and demographic development of the civilization. The obtained predictions are used to simulate variants of possible changes in water balance components in the Lena Basin up to the mid-XXI century. The calculation procedure is based on the use of land-surface model SWAP and a climate scenario generator MAGICC/SCENGEN.