On the aggregation of credit, market and operational risks
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  • 作者:Jianping Li ; Xiaoqian Zhu ; Cheng-Few Lee
  • 关键词:Credit risk ; Market risk ; Operational risk ; Risk dependence ; Risk aggregation ; Copula ; E10 ; G32 ; G21
  • 刊名:Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting
  • 出版年:2015
  • 出版时间:January 2015
  • 年:2015
  • 卷:44
  • 期:1
  • 页码:161-189
  • 全文大小:1,652 KB
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  • 作者单位:Jianping Li (1)
    Xiaoqian Zhu (1) (2)
    Cheng-Few Lee (3)
    Dengsheng Wu (1)
    Jichuang Feng (4)
    Yong Shi (5) (6)

    1. Institution of Policy and Management, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190, China
    2. University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190, China
    3. Department of Finance and Economics, Rutgers University, Newark, NJ, 08854, USA
    4. Industrial Bank Co., Ltd., Fuzhou, 350003, Fujian, China
    5. School of Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190, China
    6. College Information Science and Technology, University Nebraska, Omaha, NE, 68182, USA
  • 刊物类别:Business and Economics
  • 刊物主题:Economics
    Finance and Banking
    Accounting and Auditing
    Econometrics
    Operation Research and Decision Theory
  • 出版者:Springer Netherlands
  • ISSN:1573-7179
文摘
Risk aggregation considering inter-risk dependence has always been a challenge to both researchers and practitioners. The objective of this study is to formulate ways of aggregation of bank risks and comprehensively compare simple summation, variance–covariance and copula approach. Firstly, the three popular approaches are adopted to aggregate credit risk, market risk and operational risk of banks based on Austrian banking data. Then, two comparisons are mainly made. Total risks aggregated by different approaches are compared to analyze their relative magnitudes. Diversification benefits of different approaches are further compared to investigate their tail dependence structures. Based on the empirical analysis, some facts are verified and some interesting findings are uncovered, leading to the conclusions that simple summation approach is too conservative and variance–covariance approach is overly optimistic, so it is suggested that copula approach is the future major trend for bank risk aggregation. Especially, t copula with degree of freedom between 1 and 10 is a good choice to capture tail dependence while Gaussian copula is not recommended. Besides, the proposed mixture copula consisting of t copula and Gumbel copula exhibits heavier right tail dependence than single t copula.

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