De Facto Versus de Jure Political Institutions in the Long-Run: A Multivariate Analysis, 1820–2000

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• 作者：Peter Foldvari
• 关键词：Democratization ; De facto and de jure institutions ; Canonical correlation ; Polity IV ; Vanhanen’s Index of Democracy
• 刊名：Social Indicators Research
• 出版年：2017
• 出版时间：January 2017
• 年：2017
• 卷：130
• 期：2
• 页码：759-777
• 全文大小：624KB
• 刊物类别：Humanities, Social Sciences and Law
• 刊物主题：Sociology, general; Quality of Life Research; Microeconomics; Public Health; Human Geography; Quality of Life Research;
• 出版者：Springer Netherlands
• ISSN：1573-0921
• 卷排序：130

文摘

In this paper we use the components of the PolityIV project’s polity2 and Vanhanen’s Index of Democracy indicators to analyse the relationship between de jure and de facto political institutions from 1820 until 2000 with a canonical correlation method corrected for the sample selection bias. We find considerable fluctuation in the relationship between the two measures. After a moderate positive correlation found during the first half of the nineteenth century, the two measures become statistically unrelated until the 1940s. The relationship becomes strong and positive only in the second half of the twentieth century. The relationship between de jure and de facto political institutions hence can be described as a U-curve, reminiscent to an inverse Kuznets-curve.