Heterogeneous expansion of end-moraine dammed lakes in the Hindukush-Karakoram-Himalaya ranges of Pakistan during 2001-013

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• 作者：Arshad Ashraf ; Rozina Naz ; Muhammad Bilal Iqbal
• 关键词：End ; moraine ; glacial lakes ; GLOF ; Karakoram ; Himalayan region
• 刊名：Journal of Mountain Science
• 出版年：2015
• 出版时间：September 2015
• 年：2015
• 卷：12
• 期：5
• 页码：1113-1124
• 全文大小：1,059 KB
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• 作者单位：Arshad Ashraf (1)
  Rozina Naz (1)
  Muhammad Bilal Iqbal (1)
  
  1. Climate Change, Alternate Energy and Water Resources Institute (CAEWRI), National Agricultural Research Center, Park road, Chakshahzad, Islamabad, Pakistan
  
• 刊物主题：Earth Sciences, general; Geography (general); Environment, general; Ecology;
• 出版者：Springer Berlin Heidelberg
• ISSN：1993-0321

文摘

Global climate change during the twentieth century had a significant impact on the glaciers that resulted in creation of new lakes and expansion of existing ones, and ultimately an increase in the number of glacial lake outburst floods (GLOFs) in the Himalayan region. This study reports variation of the end-moraine dammed lakes in the high altitude Hindukush-Karakoram-Himalaya (HKH) region of Pakistan to evaluate future floods hazard under changing climate in this region. An integrated temporal remote sensing and Geographic information system (GIS) based approach using satellite images of Landsat-7 and 8 was adopted to detect 482 endmoraine dammed lakes out of which 339 lakes (>0.02 km2) were selected for temporal change analysis during the 2001-2013 period. The findings of the study revealed a net expansion in the end-moraine dammed lakes area in the Karakoram (about 7.7%) and in the Himalayas (4.6%), while there was a net shrinkage of about 1.5% in the lakes area in the Hindukush range during this period. The percentage increase in the lakes-area was highest above 4500 m asl in the Hindukush, within 3500-4000 m asl in the Himalayas and below 3500 m asl in the Karakoram range. The overall positive change in the lakes-area appears to prevail in various altitudinal ranges of the region. The heterogeneous areal changes in the endmoraine dammed lakes might be attributed to different climate regimes and glacial hydrodynamics in the three HKH ranges. A periodic monitoring of the glacial lakes and their associated glaciers is essential for developing effective hazard assessment and risk reduction strategies for this high altitude Himalayan region. Keywords End-moraine glacial lakes GLOF Karakoram Himalayan region