Timing and effect of a safe routes to school program on child pedestrian injury risk during school travel hours: Bayesian changepoint and difference-in-differences analysis
参考文献:Albert J. Bayesian Computation with R. New York: Springer; 2008. Bellera CA, Hanley JA, Joseph L, Albertsen PC. Hierarchical changepoint models for biochemical markers illustrated by tracking postradiotherapy prostate-specific antigen series in men with prostate cancer. Ann Epidemiol. 2008; 18:270鈥?2.CrossRef Cai B, Lawson AB, McDermott S, Aelion CM. A Bayesian semiparametric approach with change points for spatial ordinal data. Stat Methods Med Res. 2012; [Epub ahead of print]. Carlin B, Gelfand A, Smith A. Hierarchical Bayesian analysis of changepoint problems. Appl Stat. 1992; 41:389鈥?05.CrossRef MATH Chriqui JF, Taber DR, Slater SJ, Turner L, Lowrey KM, Chaloupka FJ. The impact of state safe routes to school-related laws on active travel to school policies and practices in U.S. elementary schools. Health Place. 2012; 18(1):8鈥?5.CrossRef Cradock AL, Fields B, Barrett JL, Melly S. Program practices and demographic factors associated with federal funding for the Safe Routes to School program in the United States. Health Place. 2012; 18(1):16鈥?3.CrossRef DiMaggio C, Li G. Roadway characteristics and pediatric pedestrian injury. Epidemiol Rev. 2012; 34(1):46鈥?6.CrossRef DiMaggio C, Li G. Effectiveness of a safe routes to school program in preventing school-aged pedestrian injury. Pediatrics. 2013; 131(2):290鈥?6.CrossRef Gelman A, Hill J. Data Analysis Using Regression and Multilevel Methods. New York: Cambridge University Press; 2007: p. 115. Ghosh P, Vaida F. Random changepointmodelling of HIV immunologic responses. Stat Med. 2007; 26:2074鈥?7.CrossRef MathSciNet Haddon W Jr. Advances in the epidemiology of injuries as a basis for public policy. Public Health Rep. 1980; 95(5):411鈥?1. Kim CJ, Nelson CR. Has the US economy become more stable? A Bayesian approach based on a Markov-switching model of the business cycle. Rev Econ Stat. 1999; 81:608鈥?6.CrossRef Levin Martin S, Moeti R, Pullen-Seufert N. Implementing safe routes to school: application for the socioecological model and issues to consider. Health Promot Pract. 2009; 10(4):606鈥?4.CrossRef Lewin-Koh Roger. Maptools: Tools for Reading and Handling Spatial Objects. R Package Version 0.8-14. 2012. Available at http://鈥媍ran.鈥媟-project.鈥媜rg/鈥媤eb/鈥媝ackages/鈥媘aptools/鈥媔ndex.鈥媓tm . National Center for Safe Routes to School. Federal Safe Routes to School Program Progress Report. 2012. Available at http://鈥媤ww.鈥媠aferoutesinfo.鈥媜rg/鈥媠ites/鈥媎efault/鈥媐iles/鈥媟esources/鈥媝rogress%20鈥媟eport_鈥婩INAL_鈥媤eb.鈥媝df . National Center for Safe Routes to School. Program Tools. 2013. http://鈥媤ww.鈥媠aferoutesinfo.鈥媜rg/鈥?/span> . New York City Department of Transportation. Safety Programs: Safe Routes to Schools. 2012. Available at www.鈥媙yc.鈥媑ov/鈥媓tml/鈥媎ot/鈥媓tml/鈥媠afety/鈥媠aferoutes.鈥媠html . Pauler DK, Finkelstein DM. Predicting time to prostate cancer recurrence based on joint models for non-linear longitudinal biomarkers and event time outcomes. Stat Med. 2002; 21:3897鈥?11.CrossRef Plummer M. JAGS (Just Another Gibbs Sampler). 2010. Available at http://鈥媘cmc-jags.鈥媠ourceforge.鈥媙et/鈥?/span> . Plummer M, Best N, Cowles K, Vines K, Sarkar D, Almond R. Coda: Output Analysis and Diagnostics for MCMC. 2012. Available at http://鈥媍ran.鈥媟-project.鈥媜rg/鈥媤eb/鈥媝ackages/鈥媍oda/鈥媔ndex.鈥媓tml . R Development Core Team. R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing Version 2.14; 2011. 2011. Available at http://鈥媤ww.鈥媟-project.鈥媜rg/鈥?/span> . Safe Routes to School National Partnership. 2012. Available at www.鈥媠aferoutespartne鈥媟ship.鈥媜rg/鈥媓ome . Seidou O, Asselin JJ, Ouarda TBMJ. Bayesian multivariate linear regression with application to change point models in hydrometeorological variables. Water Resour Res. 2007; 43(W08401):17. Su Y, Masanau Y. R2jags: A Package for Running Jags from R. 2012. Available at http://鈥媍ran.鈥媟-project.鈥媜rg/鈥媤eb/鈥媝ackages/鈥婻2jags/鈥媔ndex.鈥媓tml . The RBA Group Urbitran Associates, Inc. Prioritization Methodology: Final Report Prepared for New York City Department of Transportation. 2013. Available at http://鈥媤ww.鈥媙yc.鈥媑ov/鈥媓tml/鈥媎ot/鈥媎ownloads/鈥媝df/鈥媠rts_鈥媝rioritization_鈥?003.鈥媝df . US Census Bureau. American FactFinder. Washington, DC: US Census Bureau; 2010. Viola R, Roe M, Shin H. The New York City Q:14 Pedestrian Safety Study and Action Plan. 2010. Available at http://鈥媤ww.鈥媙yc.鈥媑ov/鈥媓tml/鈥媎ot/鈥媓tml/鈥媋bout/鈥媝edsafetyreport.鈥媠html . Accessed 15 December 2012. Watson M, Dannenberg AL. Investment in safe routes to school projects: public health benefits for the larger community. Prev Chronic Dis. 2008; 5(3):A90. Western B, Kleykamp M. A Bayesian change changepointpoint model for historical time seires analysis. Polit Anal. 2004; 12:354鈥?4.CrossRef Yu Q, Scribner R, Carlin B, Theall K, Simonsen N, Ghosh-Dastidar B, Cohen D, Mason K. Multilevel spatio-temporal dual changepoint models for relating alcohol outlet destruction and changes in neighbourhood rates of assaultive violence. Geospat Health. 2008; 2:161鈥?2.CrossRef
作者单位:Charles DiMaggio (1) Qixuan Chen (2) Peter A Muennig (3) Guohua Li (1)
1. Columbia University College of Physicians and Surgeons Department of Anesthesiology, Mailman School of Public Health Department of Epidemiology; Center for Injury Epidemiology and Prevention, Columbia University Medical Center, 622 West 168 Street, New York, NY, 10032, USA 2. Mailman School of Public Health Department of Biostatistics, 722 West 168 Street, New York, NY, 10032, USA 3. Mailman School of Public Health Department of Health Policy and Management, 722 West 168 Street, New York, NY, 10032, USA
刊物类别:Statistics for Life Sciences, Medicine, Health Sciences; Epidemiology; Biostatistics; Public Health;
刊物主题:Statistics for Life Sciences, Medicine, Health Sciences; Epidemiology; Biostatistics; Public Health; Statistical Theory and Methods;
出版者:Springer International Publishing
ISSN:2197-1714
文摘
Background In 2005, the US Congress allocated $612 million for a national Safe Routes to School (SRTS) program to encourage walking and bicycling to schools. We evaluated the effectiveness of a SRTS in controlling pedestrian injuries among school-age children.