An Experimental Study on Cholera Modeling in Hanoi
详细信息    查看全文
  • 关键词:Cholera modeling ; Feature selection ; Global data preparation ; Local data preparation ; Prediction cholera state
  • 刊名:Lecture Notes in Computer Science
  • 出版年:2016
  • 出版时间:2016
  • 年:2016
  • 卷:9622
  • 期:1
  • 页码:230-240
  • 全文大小:495 KB
  • 参考文献:1.Andrews, J.R., Basu, S.: Transmission dynamics and control of cholera in Haiti: an epidemic model. Lancet 377(9773), 1248–1255 (2011)CrossRef
    2.Chunara, R., Andrews, J.R., Brownstein, J.S.: Social and news media enable estimation of epidemiological patterns early in the 2010 Haitian cholera outbreak. Am. J. Trop. Med. Hyg. 86(1), 39–45 (2012)CrossRef
    3.Colwell, R.R.: Global climate and infectious disease: the cholera paradigm. Science 274(5295), 2025–2031 (1996)CrossRef
    4.Crooks, A.T., Hailegiorgis, A.B.: An agent-based modeling approach applied to the spread of cholera. Environ. Modell. Softw. 62(2014), 164–177 (2014)CrossRef
    5.Anh, D.D., Lopez, A.L., Thiem, V.D., Grahek, S.L., Duong, T.N., Park, J.K., Kwon, H.J., Favorov, M., Hien, N.T., Clemens, J.D.: Use of oral cholera vaccines in an outbreak in Vietnam: a case control study. PLoS Neglected Trop. Dis. 5(1), e1006 (2011)CrossRef
    6.Eisenberga, M.C., Kujbida, G., Tuite, A.R., Fisman, D.N., Tien, J.H.: Examining rainfall and cholera dynamics in Haiti using statistical and dynamic modeling approaches. Epidemics 5(2013), 197–207 (2013)CrossRef
    7.Emch, M., Feldacker, C., Yunus, M., Streatfield, P.K., DinhThiem, V., Canh do, G., Ali, M.: Local environmental predictors of cholera in Bangladesh and Vietnam. Am. J. Trop. Med. Hyg. 78(5), 823–832 (2008)
    8.Ginsberg, J., Mohebbi, M.H., Patel, R.S., Brammer, L., Smolinski, M.S., Brilliant, L.: Detecting influenza epidemics using search engine query data. Nature 457, 1012–1014 (2009)CrossRef
    9.Koepke, A.A., Longini Jr., I.M., Elizabeth Halloran, M., Wakeeld, J., Minin, V.N.: Predictive modeling of cholera outbreaks in Bangladesh, 3 February 2014. arXiv: http://​arxiv.​org/​abs/​1312.​4414 [stat.AP]
    10.Lipp, E., Huq, A., Colwell, R.: Effects of global climate on infectious disease: the cholera model. Clin. Microbiol. Rev. 15(4), 757–770 (2002)CrossRef
    11.Nguyen, B.M., Lee, J.H., Cuong, N.T., Choi, S.Y., Hien, N.T., Anh, D.D., Lee, H.R., Ansaruzzaman, M., Endtz, H.P., Chun, J., Lopez, A.L., Czerkinsky, C., Clemens, J.D., Kim, D.W.: Cholera outbreaks caused by an altered Vibrio cholerae O1 El Tor biotype strain producing classical cholera toxin B in Vietnam in 2007 to 2008. J. Clin. Microbiol. 47(5), 1568–1571 (2009)CrossRef
    12.Posny, D., Wang, J.: Modelling cholera in periodic environments. J. Biol. Dyn. 8(1), 1–19 (2014). doi:10.​1080/​17513758.​2014.​896482 MathSciNet CrossRef
    13.Reiner, R.C., King, A.A., Emch, M., Yunus, M., Faruque, A.S.G., Pascual, M.: Highly localized sensitivity to climate forcing drives endemic cholera in a megacity. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci. USA 109, 2033–2036 (2012)CrossRef
    14.Wang, J., Liao, S.: A generalized cholera model and epidemic – endemic analysis. J. Biol. Dyn. 6(2), 568–589 (2012)MathSciNet CrossRef
    15.World Health Organization: severe acute watery diarrhoea with cases positive for Vibrio cholerae, Viet Nam. Wkly. Epidemiol. Rec. 83(18), 157–168 (2008)
    16.Yue, Y., Gong, J., Wang, D., Kan, B., Li, B., Ke, C.: Influence of climate factors on Vibrio cholerae dynamics in the Pearl River estuary, South China. World J. Microbiol. Biotechnol. (2014). doi:10.​1007/​s11274-014-1604-5
    17. http://​www.​statsoft.​com/​Products/​STATISTICA/​Product-Index
    18. http://​sourceforge.​net/​projects/​weka/​
  • 作者单位:Ngoc-Anh Thi Le (17)
    Thi-Oanh Ngo (18)
    Huyen-Trang Thi Lai (18)
    Hoang-Quynh Le (18)
    Hai-Chau Nguyen (18)
    Quang-Thuy Ha (18)

    17. Hanoi Medical University, No.1, Ton That Tung Street, Hanoi, Vietnam
    18. VNU-University of Engineering and Technology (UET), 144, Xuan Thuy, Cau Giay, Hanoi, Vietnam
  • 丛书名:Intelligent Information and Database Systems
  • ISBN:978-3-662-49390-8
  • 刊物类别:Computer Science
  • 刊物主题:Artificial Intelligence and Robotics
    Computer Communication Networks
    Software Engineering
    Data Encryption
    Database Management
    Computation by Abstract Devices
    Algorithm Analysis and Problem Complexity
  • 出版者:Springer Berlin / Heidelberg
  • ISSN:1611-3349
文摘
Cholera modeling for prediction Cholera state is the research topic is specially considered by researchers. An experimental frame for Cholera modeling based on using data mining techniques is showed in this paper. In the Data Preparation Phase, two versions of data presentation and a solution for feature selection are considered. Moreover, both cases of two-value Cholera state and three-value Cholera state also investigated. Experimental results show that the global presentation is better than the local presentation, F1 measures are between 0.79 and 0.86, and the target variable has correlation with climate condition variables in some cases.

© 2004-2018 中国地质图书馆版权所有 京ICP备05064691号 京公网安备11010802017129号

地址:北京市海淀区学院路29号 邮编:100083

电话:办公室:(+86 10)66554848;文献借阅、咨询服务、科技查新:66554700