Climate-induced range shifts of the American jackknife clam Ensis directus in Europe
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- 作者：V. Raybaud (1) (2)
G. Beaugrand (1) (2)
J.-M. Dewarumez (1) (2)
C. Luczak (2) (3)
1. UMR 8187 LOG ; Laboratoire d鈥橭c茅anologie et de G茅osciences ; Universit茅 Lille 1 - Sciences et Technologies (USTL) ; 28 Avenue Foch ; 62930 ; Wimereux ; France
2. UMR 8187 LOG ; Laboratoire d鈥橭c茅anologie et de G茅osciences ; CNRS ; 28 Avenue Foch ; 62930 ; Wimereux ; France
3. IUFM ; Centre de Gravelines ; Universit茅 d鈥橝rtois ; 40 rue V. Hugo - BP 129 ; 59820 ; Gravelines ; France - 关键词：American jackknife ; Ensis directus ; Ecological niche model ; Thermal preference ; Climate change ; Geographical distribution
- 刊名：Biological Invasions
- 出版年：2015
- 出版时间：February 2015
- 年：2015
- 卷：17
- 期：2
- 页码：725-741
- 全文大小：5,853 KB
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- 刊物主题：Life Sciences
Plant Sciences
Ecology
Hydrobiology
Zoology
Forestry - 出版者：Springer Netherlands
- ISSN：1573-1464
文摘
Mapping the future potential distribution of alien species has become an issue of great concern. Ecological niche models are increasingly used to forecast the spatial range of introduced species in the context of climate warming. Here, we studied the potential spread of the American jackknife clam Ensis directus into European waters. E. directus, a marine bivalve native to the American coasts, was observed in Europe for the first time in the German Bight at the end of the 1970s. Afterwards, the clam quickly colonized the surrounding waters of the North Sea. Although many studies focused on its biology, ecology and colonization, the extent to which E. directus may invade European and Nordic seas remained poorly known. In this study, we used two ecological niche models (ENMs), calibrated on the native area of the mollusk, to evaluate the potential distributional range of the bivalve over European seas. Under current environmental conditions, E. directus should continue to progress towards the southern coasts of France and may also invade new areas in the Adriatic Sea. Projections for the end of the century suggest that the probability of occurrence of E. directus increases from Denmark to France with both ENMs. The Tunisian coasts may also become a new suitable area for the mollusk but the results of the two ENMs differ for this region. Therefore, contrary to what is often observed, a southward range expansion of E. directus is probable, especially as climate will get warmer.