Recent heterogeneous warming and the associated summer precipitation over eastern China
详细信息    查看全文
  • 作者:Jian Zhu ; Dan-Qing Huang ; Ying Dai ; Xi Chen
  • 刊名:Theoretical and Applied Climatology
  • 出版年:2016
  • 出版时间:February 2016
  • 年:2016
  • 卷:123
  • 期:3-4
  • 页码:619-627
  • 全文大小:2,691 KB
  • 参考文献:Brohan P, Kennedy JJ, Harris I et al (2006) Uncertainty estimates in regional and global observed temperature changes: a new data set from 1850. J Geophys Res 111, D12106. doi:10.​1029/​2005JD006548 CrossRef
    Chan JCL, Zhou W (2005) PDO, ENSO and the early summer monsoon rainfall over south China. Geophys Res Lett 32, L08810. doi:10.​1029/​2004GL022015
    Chang C-P, Zhang Y, Li T (2000) Interannual and interdecadal variations of the East Asian summer monsoon and tropical Pacific SSTs. Part I: roles of the subtropical ridge. J Clim 13:4310–4325. doi:10.​1175/​1520-0442 CrossRef
    Dai A (2013) The influence of the inter-decadal Pacific oscillation on US precipitation during 1923–2010. Clim Dyn 41:633–646. doi:10.​1007/​s00382-012-1446-5 CrossRef
    Ding Y, Chan JCL (2005) The East Asian summer monsoon: an overview. Meteorol Atmos Phys 89:117–142. doi:10.​1007/​s00703-005-0125-z CrossRef
    Ding Y, Wang Z, Sun Y (2008) Inter-decadal variation of the summer precipitation in East China and its association with decreasing Asian summer monsoon. Part I: observed evidences. Int J Climatol 28:1139–1161. doi:10.​1002/​joc CrossRef
    Dong L, Guo P, Zhang F (2009) Relationship between data of abrupt change of the East Asian subtropical westerly jet and East Asian circulation anomaly in early–middle summer. Trans Atmos Sci (in Chinese) 32:543–552
    Dong L, Guo P, Zhang F (2010) Relationship between variations of East Asian subtropical westerly jet from early summer to midsummer and withdrawal of Meiyu from Jianghuai region. Trans Atmos Sci (in Chinese) 33:74–81
    Du Y, Zhang Y, Xie Z (2009) Impacts of the zonal position of the East Asian westerly jet core on precipitation distribution during Meiyu of China. Acta Meteorol Sin 23:506–516
    Easterling DR, Wehner MF (2009) Is the climate warming or cooling? Geophys Res Lett 36, L08706. doi:10.​1029/​2009GL037810 CrossRef
    Hansen J, Ruedy R, Sato M, Lo K (2010) Global surface temperature change. Rev Geophys 48:1–29. doi:10.​1029/​2010RG000345 CrossRef
    Hartmann DL (2007) The atmospheric general circulation and its variability. J Meteorol Soc Japan 85B:123–143CrossRef
    He C, Zhou T (2014) Decadal change of the connection between summer western North Pacific subtropical high and tropical SST in the early 1990s. Atmos Sci Lett. doi:10.​1002/​asl2.​550
    Hoerling M, Kumar A, Eischeid J, Jha B (2008) What is causing the variability in global mean land temperature? Geophys Res Lett 35, L23712. doi:10.​1029/​2008GL035984 CrossRef
    Houghton JL, Filho G, Callander B, Harris N, Kattenberg A, Maskell K (1996) Climate change 1995: the science of climate change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
    Hu Z-Z (1997) Interdecadal variability of summer climate over East Asia and its association with 500 hPa height and global sea surface temperature. J Geophys Res 102:19403–19412. doi:10.​1029/​97JD01052 CrossRef
    Hu Z-Z, Yang S, Wu R (2003) Long-term climate variations in China and global warming signals. J Geophys Res 108:4614. doi:10.​1029/​2003JD003651 CrossRef
    Huang R, Sun F (1994) Impacts of the thermal state and the convective activities in the tropical western warm pool on the summer climate anomalies in East Asia. Sci Atmos Sin (in Chinese) 18:141–151
    Huang R, Chen W, Yan B, Zhang R (2004) Recent advances in studies of the interaction between the East Asian winter and summer monsoons and ENSO cycle. Adv Atmos Sci 21:407–424. doi:10.​1007/​BF02915568 CrossRef
    Huang D, Qian Y, Zhu J (2010) Trends of temperature extremes in China and their relationship with global temperature anomalies. Adv Atmos Sci 27:937–946. doi:10.​1007/​s00376-009-9085-4.​1.​Introduction CrossRef
    Huang D, Qian Y, Zhu J (2011a) The heterogeneity of Meiyu rainfall over Yangtze–Huaihe River valley and its relationship with oceanic surface heating and intraseasonal variability. Theor Appl Climatol 108:601–611. doi:10.​1007/​s00704-011-0551-4 CrossRef
    Huang D, Takahashi M, Zhang Y (2011b) Analysis of the Baiu precipitation and associated circulations simulated by the MIROC coupled climate system model. J Meteorol Soc Japan 89:625–636. doi:10.​2151/​jmsj.​ 2011-603 CrossRef
    Huang D, Zhu J, Zhang Y, Huang A (2014) The different configurations of the East Asian polar front jet and subtropical jet and the associated rainfall anomalies over eastern China in summer. J Clim. doi:10.​1175/​JCLI-D-14-00067.​1
    Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (2007) Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by S. Solomon et al., Cambridge Univ. Press, Cambridge, UK
    Jones PD, Briffa KR (1992) Global surface air temperature variations during the twentieth century: Part 1, spatial, temporal and seasonal details. The Holocene 2(2):165–179
    Jones PD, New M, Parker DE et al (1999) Surface air temperature and its changes over the past 150 years. Rev Geophys 37:173–199CrossRef
    Jones PD, Osborn TJ, Briffa KR et al (2001) Adjusting for sampling density in grid box land and ocean surface temperature time series. J Geophys Res 106:3371–3380CrossRef
    Kalnay E, Kanamitsu M, Kistler R et al (1996) The NCEP/NCAR 40-year reanalysis project. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 77:437–471CrossRef
    Kamae Y, Shiogama H, Watanabe M, Kimoto M (2014) Attributing the increase in Northern Hemisphere hot summers since the late 20th century. Geophys Res Lett. doi:10.​1002/​2014GL061062
    Kaufmann RK, Kauppi H, Mann ML, Stock JH (2011) Reconciling anthropogenic climate change with observed temperature 1998–2008. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 108:11790–11793CrossRef
    Kuang XY (2006) Study on the seasonal and interannual variations of the East Asian subtropical westerly jet and its thermal mechanism and climate effects. Ph.D. dissertation., Nanjing University. PP159
    Kumar KK, Rajagopalan B, Cane MA (1999) On the weakening relationship between the Indian monsoon and ENSO. Science (80-) 284:2156–2160CrossRef
    Li L, Zhang Y (2014) Effects of different configurations of the East Asian subtropical and polar front jets on precipitation during Meiyu season. J Clim. doi:10.​1175/​JCLI-D-14-00021.​1
    Li H, Dai A, Zhou T, Lu J (2010) Responses of East Asian summer monsoon to historical SST and atmospheric forcing during 1950–2000. Clim Dyn 34:501–514. doi:10.​1007/​s00382-008-0482-7 CrossRef
    Liang X, Wang W (1998) Associations between China monsoon rainfall and tropospheric jets. Q J R Meteorol Soc 124:2597–2623CrossRef
    Liao Z, Zhang Y (2013) Concurrent variation between the East Asian subtropical jet and polar front jet during persistent snowstorm period in 2008 winter over southern China. J Geophys Res Atmos 118:6360–6373. doi:10.​1002/​jgrd.​50558 CrossRef
    Liu H, Zhou T, Zhu Y, Lin Y (2012) The strengthening East Asia summer monsoon since the early 1990s. Chinese Sci Bull 57:1553–1558. doi:10.​1007/​s11434-012-4991-8 CrossRef
    Lu R, Lin Z, Zhang Y (2013) Variability of the East Asian upper-tropospheric jet in summer and its impacts on the East Asian monsoon. Chinese J Atmos Sci (in Chinese) 37:331–340
    Ma T, Wu Z, Jiang Z (2012) How does coldwave frequency in China respond to a warming climate? Clim Dyn 39:2487–2496. doi:10.​1007/​s00382-012-1354-8 CrossRef
    Meehl GA, Stocker TF, Collins WD, Friedlingstein P, Gaye AT, Gregory JM, Kitoh A, Knutti R, Murphy JM, Noda A, Raper SCB, Watterson IG, Weaver AJ, Zhao ZC (2007) Global climate projections. In: Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M, Chen Z, Marquis M, Averyt KB, Tignor M, Miller HL (eds) Climate change 2007: the physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp 747–845
    Messerli B, Ives JD (1997) Mountains of the world: a global priority. Parthenon, New York, p 495
    Newman M, Compo GP, Alexander MA (2003) ENSO-forced variability of the Pacific decadal oscillation. J Clim 16:3853–3857CrossRef
    Power S, Casey T, Folland C et al (1999) Inter-decadal modulation of the impact of ENSO on Australia. Clim Dyn 15:319–324CrossRef
    Ren X, Yang X, Zhou T, Fang J (2011) Diagnostic comparison of wintertime East Asian subtropical jet and polar-front jet: large-scale characteristics and transient eddy activities. Acta Meteorol Sin 25:21–33. doi:10.​1007/​s13351-011-0002-2.​1 CrossRef
    Smith TM, Reynolds RW, Peterson TC, Lawrimore J (2008) Improvements to NOAA’s historical merged land–ocean surface temperature analysis (1880–2006). J Clim 21:2283–2296. doi:10.​1175/​2007JCLI2100.​1 CrossRef
    Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M, Marquis M, Averyt K, Tignor MMB, Miller Jr HL, and Chen Z, eds, 2007. Climate Change 2007: the physical science basis. Cambridge University Press, 996 pp.
    Tao S, Chen L (1987) Review of recent research on the East Asian summer monsoon in China. Monsoon Meteorology, Chang CP, Krishnamurti TN, 471 (eds) Oxford University Press, 60-92
    Wang B, Wu R, Lau K-M (2001) Interannual variability of the Asian summer monsoon: contrasts between the Indian and the western North Pacific—East Asian monsoons. J Clim 14:4073–4090CrossRef
    Wang B, Bao Q, Hoskins B et al (2008a) Tibetan Plateau warming and precipitation changes in East Asia. Geophys Res Lett 35, L14702. doi:10.​1029/​2008GL034330 CrossRef
    Wang L, Chen W, Huang R (2008b) Interdecadal modulation of PDO on the impact of ENSO on the east Asian winter monsoon. Geophys Res Lett 35, L20702. doi:10.​1029/​2008GL035287 CrossRef
    Wang B, Liu J, Kim H-J et al (2011) Recent change of the global monsoon precipitation (1979–2008). Clim Dyn 39:1123–1135. doi:10.​1007/​s00382-011-1266-z CrossRef
    Webster P (1987) The elementary monsoon. Monsoons JS Fein, Stephens PL (eds) Wiley Interscience, 3–32
    Yu R, Wang B, Zhou T (2004) Tropospheric cooling and summer monsoon weakening trend over East Asia. Geophys Res Lett 31, L22212. doi:10.​1029/​2004GL021270 CrossRef
    Zhai P, Zhang X, Wan H, Pan X (2005) Trends in total precipitation and frequency of daily precipitation extremes over China. J Clim 18:1096–1108CrossRef
    Zhang Y, Wallace JM, Battisti DS (1997) ENSO-like interdecadal variability: 1900–93. J Clim 10:1004–1020CrossRef
    Zhang Y, Li T, Wang B (2004) Decadal change of the spring snow depth over the Tibetan Plateau: the associated circulation and influence on the East Asian summer monsoon. J Clim 17:2780–2793CrossRef
    Zhang Y, Wang D, Ren X (2008) Seasonal variation of the meridional wind in the temperate jet stream and its relationship to the Asian monsoon. Acta Meteorol Sin 22:446–454
    Zhao P, Yang S, Yu R (2010) Long-term changes in rainfall over eastern China and large-scale atmospheric circulation associated with recent global warming. J Clim 23:1544–1562. doi:10.​1175/​2009JCLI2660.​1 CrossRef
    Zhou T-J, Yu R (2005) Atmospheric water vapor transport associated with typical anomalous summer rainfall patterns in China. J Geophys Res 110, D08104. doi:10.​1029/​2004JD005413
    Zhu J, Huang D, Qian Y, Lin H (2010) Uneven characteristics of warm extremes during Meiyu period over Yangtze–Huaihe region and its configuration with circulation systems. Chinese J Geophys (in Chinese) 53:2310–2320
    Zhu C, Wang B, Qian W, Zhang B (2012) Recent weakening of northern East Asian summer monsoon: a possible response to global warming. Geophys Res Lett 39:n/a–n/a. doi: 10.​1029/​2012GL051155
    Zhu J, Huang D-Q, Zhang Y-C et al (2013) Decadal changes of Meiyu rainfall around 1991 and its relationship with two types of ENSO. J Geophys Res Atmos 118:9766–9777. doi:10.​1002/​jgrd.​50779 CrossRef
    Zhu J, Huang D., Yang T. (2015) Changes of Meiyu system in the future under A1B scenario simulated by MIROC_Hires model. Theor Appl Climatol.12 doi:10.​1007/​s00704-015-1371-8
  • 作者单位:Jian Zhu (1)
    Dan-Qing Huang (2)
    Ying Dai (3)
    Xi Chen (1)

    1. State Key Laboratory of Hydrology—Water Resources and Hydraulic Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing, 210098, China
    2. School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjing, 210023, China
    3. Nanjing Institute of Environmental Sciences, Ministry of Environmental Protection of the People’s Republic of China, Nanjing, 210042, China
  • 刊物类别:Earth and Environmental Science
  • 刊物主题:Earth sciences
    Meteorology and Climatology
    Atmospheric Protection, Air Quality Control and Air Pollution
    Climate Change
    Waste Water Technology, Water Pollution Control, Water Management and Aquatic Pollution
  • 出版者:Springer Wien
  • ISSN:1434-4483
文摘
The recent heterogeneous warming and the associated summer precipitation over eastern China are investigated in this study. In 1990–1999, there exist warming over northwestern Pacific and cooling over eastern equatorial Pacific, which can be quantified by temperature gradient index (TGI). Positive and negative cases are chosen based on TGI. In positive cases, a “southern flood and northern drought” summer rainfall pattern dominates over eastern China. The atmospheric circulations show that associated with the southward receding of western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH), ascending motion accompanied with more water vapor exists over southern China. Furthermore, cold–warm air activity affected by weakened East Asian subtropical jet (EASJ) and strengthened East Asia polar front jet (EAPJ) may also be responsible for this rainfall anomaly pattern. In negative cases, significant positive Meiyu-like rainfall anomaly concentrated over Yangtze Huaihe River Basin (YHRB). Associated with the northward shift of WPSH, more water vapor is transported to YHRB. Additionally, the enhanced ascending motion over YHRB may be related with the northward shift of the EAPJ and westward shift of the EASJ. The results reinforce the notion that the configuration of EASJ and EAPJ in both intensity and position has large impacts on the precipitation variations over eastern China.

© 2004-2018 中国地质图书馆版权所有 京ICP备05064691号 京公网安备11010802017129号

地址:北京市海淀区学院路29号 邮编:100083

电话:办公室:(+86 10)66554848;文献借阅、咨询服务、科技查新:66554700