Probabilistic methods for the estimation of seismic Fa and Fv maps—application to Montreal
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  • 作者:Mohammad Kamruzzaman Talukder ; Luc Chouinard
  • 关键词:Shear wave velocity ; Vs30 microzonation ; Foundation factors ; Site fundamental frequency ; Conditional second moment method ; Probabilistic site classification
  • 刊名:Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering
  • 出版年:2016
  • 出版时间:February 2016
  • 年:2016
  • 卷:14
  • 期:2
  • 页码:345-372
  • 全文大小:8,985 KB
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  • 作者单位:Mohammad Kamruzzaman Talukder (1)
    Luc Chouinard (1)

    1. Department of Civil Engineering and Applied Mechanics, McGill University, Montreal, Canada
  • 刊物类别:Earth and Environmental Science
  • 刊物主题:Earth sciences
    Geotechnical Engineering
    Civil Engineering
    Geophysics and Geodesy
    Hydrogeology
    Structural Geology
  • 出版者:Springer Netherlands
  • ISSN:1573-1456
文摘
In most national building codes, site classification is based on the Vs30 parameter, the average shear wave velocity for the first 30 m of soil below the surface, and defines amplification factors (e.g. Fa and Fv) to be applied to ground motions for a reference condition. Seismic microzonation mapping is usually achieved by combining information from various sources, each with varying degrees of uncertainties. A preliminary microzonation can be derived from surface geology or surface elevation maps, while a more detailed and accurate map is usually based on extensive seismic surveys. A procedure is proposed that progressively allows the integration of information from various sources and to estimate the degree of uncertainty on the microzonation. This allows planners to determine where microzonation maps require further investigations given current or future urban development plans. The proposed procedure uses conditional second moment estimation and provides the best linear unbiased estimates of Vs30 and its uncertainty. Next, these estimates are used to derive soil classification probability maps and to compute the expected values and variance of soil amplification factors Fa ad Fv to be used in probabilistic seismic risk analyses. The proposed procedure is demonstrated for the seismic microzonation of the island of Montreal.

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