Demographic change and the supply of potential family supporters in Britain, Finland and France in the period 1911鈥?050/Changements d茅mographiques et disponibilit茅 des soutiens familiaux en Grande-Bretagne, en Finlande et en France entre 1911 et 2050

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• 作者：Michael Murphy (1)
  Pekka Martikainen (2)
  Sophie Pennec (3)
  
• 关键词：Ageing ; Population projections ; Developed countries ; Kinship ; Vieillissement ; Projections de population ; Pays d茅velopp茅s ; Parent茅
• 刊名：European Journal of Population / Revue europ篓娄enne de D篓娄mographie
• 出版年：2006
• 出版时间：September 2006
• 年：2006
• 卷：22
• 期：3
• 页码：219-240
• 全文大小：304KB
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• 作者单位：Michael Murphy (1)
  Pekka Martikainen (2)
  Sophie Pennec (3)
  
  1. Department of Social Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, Houghton Street, London, WC2A 2AE, United Kingdom
  2. Population Research Unit, Department of Sociology, University of Helsinki, P.O. Box 18, FIN-00014, Helsinki, Finland
  3. Institut national d鈥櫭﹖udes d茅mographiques (INED), 133 bd Davout, 75020, Paris, France
  

文摘

We consider the contribution of changes in mortality and fertility to availability of living mothers and living children among older people in Britain, Finland and France. The proportion of people aged around 60 with a mother alive will more than double between those born in 1911 and 1970 before starting to decline slightly. Conversely, a higher proportion of elderly people are likely to have a surviving child than for any generation ever born in all three countries in the next quarter century or so, with about 85% of 80-year-old women having at least one surviving child, and about two-thirds having two or more.