Remaining useful life prediction using prognostic methodology based on logical analysis of data and Kaplan–Meier estimation

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• 作者：Ahmed Ragab ; Mohamed-Salah Ouali ; Soumaya Yacout…
• 关键词：RUL ; Prognostics ; Logical analysis of data ; Kaplan–Meier estimation ; CBM
• 刊名：Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing
• 出版年：2016
• 出版时间：October 2016
• 年：2016
• 卷：27
• 期：5
• 页码：943-958
• 全文大小：1,099 KB
• 刊物类别：Business and Economics
• 刊物主题：Economics
  Production and Logistics
  Manufacturing, Machines and Tools
  Automation and Robotics
  
• 出版者：Springer Netherlands
• ISSN：1572-8145
• 卷排序：27

文摘

Most of the reported prognostic techniques use a small number of condition indicators and/or use a thresholding strategies in order to predict the remaining useful life (RUL). In this paper, we propose a reliability-based prognostic methodology that uses condition monitoring (CM) data which can deal with any number of condition indicators, without selecting the most significant ones, as many methods propose. Moreover, it does not depend on any thresholding strategies provided by the maintenance experts to separate normal and abnormal values of condition indicators. The proposed prognostic methodology uses both the age and CM data as inputs to estimate the RUL. The key idea behind this methodology is that, it uses Kaplan–Meier as a time-driven estimation technique, and logical analysis of data as an event-driven diagnostic technique to reflect the effect of the operating conditions on the age of the monitored equipment. The performance of the estimated RUL is measured in terms of the difference between the predicted and the actual RUL of the monitored equipment. A comparison between the proposed methodology and one of the common RUL prediction technique; Cox proportional hazard model, is given in this paper. A common dataset in the field of prognostics is employed to evaluate the proposed methodology.