Long-term variations of estimated global solar radiation and the influencing factors in Hunan province, China during 1980᾿013

详细信息    查看全文

• 作者：Ling Zou ; Aiwen Lin ; Lunche Wang ; Xiangao Xia…
• 刊名：Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics
• 出版年：2016
• 出版时间：April 2016
• 年：2016
• 卷：128
• 期：2
• 页码：155-165
• 全文大小：5,674 KB
• 参考文献：Adler J, Parmryd I (2010) Quantifying colocalization by correlation: the pearson correlation coefficient is superior to the mander’s overlap coefficient. Cytom Part A 77A(8):733–742CrossRef
  Alpert P, Kishcha P, Kaufman YJ, Schwarzbard R (2005) Global dimming or local dimming?: Effect of urbanization on sunlight availability. Geophys Res Lett 32(17). doi:10.​1029/​2005GL023320
  Bolboaca S-D, Jäntschi L (2006) Pearson versus Spearman, Kendall’s tau correlation analysis on structure-activity relationships of biologic active compounds. Leonardo J Sci 5(9):179–200
  Budyko MI (1969) The effect of solar radiation variations on the climate of the Earth. Tellus 21(5):611–619CrossRef
  Che HZ, Shi GY, Zhang XY, Arimoto R, Zhao JQ, Xu L, Wang B, Chen ZH (2005) Analysis of 40 years of solar radiation data from China, 1961–2000. Geophys Res Lett 32(6):L06803. doi:10.​1029/​2004GL022322 CrossRef
  Fei Y, Xia XG, Che HZ (2014) Dust aerosol drives upward trend of surface solar radiation during 1980–2009 in the Taklimakan Desert. Atmos Sci Lett 15(4):282–287
  Hamed KH (2008) Trend detection in hydrologic data: the Mann-Kendall trend test under the scaling hypothesis. J hydrol 349(3–4):350–363
  Hamed KH, Rao AR (1998) A modified Mann-Kendall trend test for autocorrelated data. J Hydrol 204(1–4):182–196
  Jiang YH, Jiang SY, Dai BZ, Liao SY, Zhao KD, Ling HF (2009) Middle to late Jurassic felsic and mafic magmatism in southern Hunan province, southeast China: implications for a continental arc to rifting. Lithos 107(3–4):185–204CrossRef
  Kaiser DP (2000) Decreasing cloudiness over China: an updated analysis examining additional variables. Geophys Res Lett 27(15):2193–2196CrossRef
  Kendall MG (1948) Rank correlation methods. Charles Griffin & Company Limited, London
  Kumari BP, Londhe AL, Daniel S, Jadhav DB (2007) Observational evidence of solar dimming: offsetting surface warming over India. Geophys Res Lett 34(21):L21810. doi:10.​1029/​2007GL031133 CrossRef
  Liang F, Xia XA (2005) Long-term trends in solar radiation and the associated climatic factors over China for 1961–2000. Ann Geophys 23(7):2425–2432CrossRef
  Liepert BG (2002) Observed reductions of surface solar radiation at sites in the United States and worldwide from 1961 to 1990. Geophys Res Lett 29(10):61CrossRef
  Lin LI (1989) A concordance correlation coefficient to evaluate reproducibility. Biometrics 45(1):255–268CrossRef
  Luo Y, Lu D, He Q, Li W, Zhou X (2000) Characteristics of atmospheric aerosol optical depth variation over China in recent 30 years. Chin Sci Bull 45(14):1328–1334CrossRef
  Ma JY, Luo Y, Shen YB, Liang H, Li SK (2013) Regional long-term trend of ground solar radiation in China over the past 50 years. Sci China Earth Sci 56(7):1242–1253CrossRef
  Mann HB (1945) Nonparametric tests against trend. Econometrica 13(4):245–259CrossRef
  McLeod AI (2005) Kendall rank correlation and Mann-Kendall trend test. R Package Kendall
  Norris JR, Wild M (2009) Trends in aerosol radiative effects over China and Japan inferred from observed cloud cover, solar “dimming," and solar “brightening". J Geophys Res Atmos 114:D00D15. doi:10.​1029/​2008JD011378 CrossRef
  Ohmura A (2009) Observed decadal variations in surface solar radiation and their causes. J Geophys Res Atmos 114
  Qian Y, Kaiser DP, Leung LR, Xu M (2006) More frequent cloud-free sky and less surface solar radiation in China from 1955 to 2000. Geophys Res Lett 33(1):L01812. doi:10.​1029/​2005GL024586 CrossRef
  Qin S, Shi G, Chen L, Wang B, Zhao J, Yu C, Yang S (2010) Long-term variation of aerosol optical depth in china based on meteorological horizontal visibility observations. Chin J Atmos Sci 34(2):7
  Qiu J, Lin Y (2001) A parameterization model of aerosol optical depths in China. Acta Meteorologica Sinica 59(3):368–372
  Qiu JH, Yang LQ (2000) Variation characteristics of atmospheric aerosol optical depths and visibility in North China during 1980–1994. Atmos Environ 34(4):603–609CrossRef
  Salazar G, Utrillas P, Esteve A, Martínez-Lozano J, Aristizabal M (2013) Estimation of daily average values of the Ångström turbidity coefficient β using a corrected yang hybrid model. Renew Energy 51:182–188CrossRef
  Shi GY, Hayasaka T, Ohmura A, Chen ZH, Wang B, Zhao JQ, Che HZ, Xu L (2008) Data quality assessment and the long-term trend of ground solar radiation in China. J Appl Meteorol Climatol 47(4):1006–1016CrossRef
  Stanhill G, Cohen S (2001) Global dimming: a review of the evidence for a widespread and significant reduction in global radiation with discussion of its probable causes and possible agricultural consequences. Agric For Meteorol 107(4):255–278CrossRef
  Wang XL (2008a) Accounting for autocorrelation in detecting mean shifts in climate data series using the penalized maximal t or F test. J Appl Meteorol Climatol 47(9):2423–2444CrossRef
  Wang XLL (2008b) Penalized maximal F test for detecting undocumented mean shift without trend change. J Atmos Ocean Technol 25(3):368–384CrossRef
  Wang LL, Xin JY, Wang YS, Li ZQ, Liu GR, Li J (2007) Evaluation of the MODIS aerosol optical depth retrieval over different ecosystems in China during EAST-AIRE. Atmos Environ 41(33):7138–7149CrossRef
  Wang KC, Dickinson RE, Wild M, Liang S (2012) Atmospheric impacts on climatic variability of surface incident solar radiation. Atmos Chem Phys 12(20):9581–9592CrossRef
  Wang L, Salazar GA, Gong W, Peng S, Zou L, Lin A (2015a) An improved method for estimating the Ångström turbidity coefficient β in Central China during 1961–2010. Energy 81:67–73CrossRef
  Wang LC, Gong W, Hu B, Zhu ZM (2015b) Analysis of photosynthetically active radiation in Northwest China from observation and estimation. Int J Biometeorol 59(2):193–204CrossRef
  Wild M (2009) Global dimming and brightening: a review. J Geophys Res Atmos 114(D10):D00D16. doi:10.​1029/​2008JD011470
  Wild M, Gilgen H, Roesch A, Ohmura A, Long CN, Dutton EG, Forgan B, Kallis A, Russak V, Tsvetkov A (2005) From dimming to brightening: decadal changes in solar radiation at Earth’s surface. Science 308(5723):847–850CrossRef
  Wild M, Trüssel B, Ohmura A, Long CN, König-Langlo G, Dutton EG, Tsvetkov A (2009) Global dimming and brightening: an update beyond 2000. J Geophys Res Atmos 114(D10):D00D13. doi:10.​1029/​2008JD011382
  Xia X (2010a) A closer looking at dimming and brightening in China during 1961–2005. Ann Geophys 28(5):1121–1132CrossRef
  Xia X (2010b) Spatiotemporal changes in sunshine duration and cloud amount as well as their relationship in China during 1954–2005. J Geophys Res Atmos 115(D7):D00K06. doi:10.​1029/​2009JD012879
  Xia XG (2010c) Spatiotemporal changes in sunshine duration and cloud amount as well as their relationship in China during 1954–2005. J Geophys Res Atmos 115:D00K06. doi:10.​1029/​2009JD012879 CrossRef
  Xin JY, Wang YS, Li ZQ, Wang PC, Hao WM, Nordgren BL, Wang SG, Liu GR, Wang LL, Wen TX, Sun Y, Hu B (2007) Aerosol optical depth (AOD) and Angstrom exponent of aerosols observed by the Chinese Sun Hazemeter network from August 2004 to September 2005. J Geophys Res Atmos 112(D5):D05203. doi:10.​1029/​2006JD007075 CrossRef
  Xiong Y, Zeng GM, Chen GQ, Tang L, Wang KL, Huang DY (2007) Combining AHP with GIS in synthetic evaluation of eco-environment quality—a case study of Hunan Province, China. Ecol Model 209(2–4):97–109
  Yang K, Koike T, Ye B (2006) Improving estimation of hourly, daily, and monthly solar radiation by importing global data sets. Agric For Meteorol 137(1):43–55CrossRef
  Yang K, Ding BH, Qin J, Tang WJ, Lu N, Lin CG (2012) Can aerosol loading explain the solar dimming over the Tibetan Plateau?. Geophys Res Lett 39:L20710. doi:10.​1029/​2012GL053733
  Yue S, Pilon P, Cavadias G (2002) Power of the Mann-Kendall and Spearman’s rho tests for detecting monotonic trends in hydrological series. J Hydrol 259(1–4):254–271CrossRef
  Zhang X, Xia X, Xuan C (2015) On the drivers of variability and trend of surface solar radiation in Beijing metropolitan area. Int J Climatol 35(3):452–461CrossRef
  
• 作者单位：Ling Zou (1)
  Aiwen Lin (1)
  Lunche Wang (2) (3)
  Xiangao Xia (4)
  Wei Gong (5)
  Hongji Zhu (1)
  Zhenzhen Zhao (1)
  
  1. School of Resource and Environment Science, Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430079, Hubei, China
  2. Department of Geography, School of Earth Sciences, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, 430074, Hubei, China
  3. State Key Laboratory of Biogeology and Environment Geology, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, 430074, Hubei, China
  4. Laboratory for Middle Atmosphere and Global Environment Observation, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100029, China
  5. State Key Laboratory of Information Engineering in Surveying, Mapping and Remote Sensing (LIESMARS), Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430079, Hubei, China
  
• 刊物类别：Earth and Environmental Science
• 刊物主题：Earth sciences
  Meteorology and Climatology
  Atmospheric Protection, Air Quality Control and Air Pollution
  Climate Change
  Mathematical Applications in Environmental Science
  Terrestrial Pollution
  Waste Water Technology, Water Pollution Control, Water Management and Aquatic Pollution
  
• 出版者：Springer Wien
• ISSN：1436-5065

文摘

Long-term variation of estimated global solar radiation (E _g↓) and its relationship with total cloud cover (TCC), low cloud cover (LCC), water vapor content (WVC) and aerosol optical depth (AOD) were investigated based on the observations at 21 meteorological stations in Hunan province, China. Long-term variations of all variables were calculated for each station; the Mann–Kendall trend test was used to detect the significant level of temporal development trend for each variable; the Pearson correlation analysis was used to measure their linear relationships. Annual E _g↓ generally decreased at the rate of −2.11 × 10−3 MJ m−2 decade−1 in Hunan province during 1980–2013. Seasonal mean E _g↓ decreased at the rate of −11.99 × 10−3, −4.71 × 10−3 and −4.51 × 10−3 MJ m−2 decade−1 in summer, autumn and winter, respectively, while the increasing trend was observed in spring (15.74 × 10−3 MJ m−2 decade−1). The annual variation of E _g↓ in Hunan province was dominantly determined by the variations of AOD (0.33 × 10−3 decade−1) and LCC (0.24 % p decade−1). But the spatial variation of E _g↓ in Hunan province was complex. All 21 stations were divided into four groups according to the long-term trends of E _g↓, TCC, LCC, AOD and WVC. An increasing E _g↓ was observed at stations in group 1, which was determined by the variability of TCC. The variability of AOD and TCC might contribute to the increasing E _g↓ in group 2. There were decreasing trends of E _g↓ for the stations in group 3 and group 4, which were largely determined by the increases of AOD and LCC.