An advanced diffusion model to identify emergent research issues: the case of optoelectronic devices
详细信息    查看全文
  • 作者:Edgar Schiebel (1)
    Marianne H?rlesberger (1)
    Ivana Roche (2)
    Claire Fran?ois (2)
    Dominique Besagni (2)
  • 关键词:Emerging research issues ; Emerging technologies ; Science dynamics ; Diffusion model ; Migration of terms ; Diffusion stages ; Diachronic cluster analysis ; Optoelectronic devices ; Evolution of a technological field
  • 刊名:Scientometrics
  • 出版年:2010
  • 出版时间:June 2010
  • 年:2010
  • 卷:83
  • 期:3
  • 页码:765-781
  • 全文大小:397KB
  • 参考文献:1. Armstrong, J. S., & Green, K. C. (2007). http://www.forecastingprinciples.com/selection_tree.html
    2. Daim, T. U., Rueda, G., Martin, H., & Gerdsri, P. (2006). Forecasting emerging technologies: Use of bibliometrics and patent analysis. / Technological Forecasting & Social Change, / 73, 981-012. CrossRef
    3. Ferber, R. (2003). Information retrieval. / Suchmodelle und Data-Mining-Verfahren für Textsammlungen und das Web, Heidelberg: dpunkt.
    4. Gini Index. (2008). http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gini_coefficient
    5. Kajikawa, Y., Yoshikawa, J., Takeda, Y., & Matushima, K. (2008). Tracking emerging technologies in energy research: Toward a roadmap for sustainable energy. / Technological Forecasting & Social Change, / 75, 771-82. CrossRef
    6. Lancaster, F. W., & Lee, J. L. (1985). Bibliometric techniques applied to issues management: A case study. / Journal of the American Society for Information Science, / 36(8), 389-97. CrossRef
    7. Lelu, A. (1993). / Modèles neuronaux pour l’analyse de données documentaires et textuelles. PhD Dissertation, Université de Paris 6.
    8. Lelu, A., & Fran?ois, C. (1992). Hypertext paradigm in the field of information retrieval: A neural approach. / 4th ACM conference on hypertext, Milano, November 30th–December 4th.
    9. Mogoutov, A., Cambrosio, A., Keating, P., & Mustar, P. (2008). Biomedical innovation at the laboratory, clinical and commercial interface: A new method for mapping research projects, publications and patents in the field of microarrays. / Journal of Informetrics, / 2, 341-53. CrossRef
    10. Mogoutov, A., & Kahane, B. (2007). Data search strategy for science and technology emergence: A scalable and evolutionary query for nanotechnology tracking. / Research Policy, / 36, 893-03. CrossRef
    11. Noyons, E. (2004). Science maps within a science policy context. In H. F. Moed, W. Gl?nzel, & U. Schmoch (Eds.), / Handbook of quantitative science and technology research (pp. 237-55). London: Kluwer Academic Publishers.
    12. Polanco, X., Fran?ois, C., Royauté, J., Besagni, D., & Roche, I. (2001). Stanalyst?: An integrated environment for clustering and mapping analysis on science and technology. In: / Proceedings of the 8th ISSI, Sydney, July 16th-0th.
    13. Robertson, S. (2004). Understanding inverse document frequency: On theoretical arguments for IDF. / Journal of Documentation, / 60(5), 503-20. CrossRef
    14. Roche, I., Besagni, D., Fran?ois, C., H?rlesberger, M., & Schiebel, E. (2008). Identification and characterisation of technological topics in the field of Molecular Biology. To be published.
    15. Salerno, M., Landoni, P, & Verganti, R. (2006). / The role of funded projects content analysis in early stage disciplines exploration: The case of nanotechnology. Paper presented at the SPRU 40th anniversary conference—The future of science, technology and innovation policy.
    16. Schiebel, E., & H?rlesberger, M. (2007). About the identification of technology specific keywords in emerging technologies: The case of “Magnetoelectronics- In: D. Torres-Salinas & H. F. Moed (Eds.), / Proceedings of ISSI 2007, 11th international conference of the International Society for Scientometrics and Informetrics (pp. 691-9). Madrid, June 25th-7th.
    17. Sp?rck, J. K., & Robertson, S. (2006). Inverse Document Frequency—The IDF page. Retrieved November 22, 2006 from http://www.soi.city.ac.uk/~ser/idf.html
    18. van Rijsbergen, C. J. (1979). / Information retrieval. London: Butterworths.
  • 作者单位:Edgar Schiebel (1)
    Marianne H?rlesberger (1)
    Ivana Roche (2)
    Claire Fran?ois (2)
    Dominique Besagni (2)

    1. AIT Austrian Institute of Technology GmbH, Tech Gate Vienna, Donau-City-Stra?e 1, 1220, Wien, Austria
    2. INIST-CNRS, 2 Allée du Parc de Brabois, CS 10310, 54519, Vandoeuvre-lès-Nancy, France
  • ISSN:1588-2861
文摘
Scientific progress in technology oriented research fields is made by incremental or fundamental inventions concerning natural science effects, materials, methods, tools and applications. Therefore our approach focuses on research activities of such technological elements on the basis of keywords in published articles. In this paper we show how emerging topics in the field of optoelectronic devices based on scientific literature data from the PASCAL-database can be identified. We use Results from PROMTECH project, whose principal objective was to produce a methodology allowing the identification of promising emerging technologies. In this project, the study of the intersection of Applied Sciences as well as Life (Biological & Medical) Sciences domains and Physics with bibliometric methods produced 45 candidate technological fields and the validation by expert panels led to a final selection of 10 most promising ones. These 45 technologies were used as reference fields. In order to detect the emerging research, we combine two methodological approaches. The first one introduces a new modelling of field terminology evolution based on bibliometric indicators: the diffusion model and the second one is a diachronic cluster analysis. With the diffusion model we identified single keywords that represent a high dynamic of the mentioned technology elements. The cluster analysis was used to recombine articles, where the identified keywords were used to technological topics in the field of optoelectronic devices. This methodology allows us to answer the following questions: Which technological aspects within our considered field can be detected? Which of them are already established and which of them are new? How are the topics linked to each other?

© 2004-2018 中国地质图书馆版权所有 京ICP备05064691号 京公网安备11010802017129号

地址:北京市海淀区学院路29号 邮编:100083

电话:办公室:(+86 10)66554848;文献借阅、咨询服务、科技查新:66554700