A framework of numerical simulation on moraine-dammed glacial lake outburst floods
详细信息    查看全文
  • 作者:Xiujuan Zhang ; Shiyin Liu
  • 关键词:moraine ; dammed glacial lakes ; glacial outburst floods ; dam breaching mechanisms ; dam ; breach models ; flood routing models
  • 刊名:Journal of Arid Land
  • 出版年:2015
  • 出版时间:December 2015
  • 年:2015
  • 卷:7
  • 期:6
  • 页码:728-740
  • 全文大小:868 KB
  • 参考文献:Alho P, Roberts M J, K盲yhk枚 J. 2007. Estimating the inundation area of a massive, hypothetical j枚kulhlaup from northwest Vatnaj枚kull, Iceland. Natural Hazards, 41(1): 21鈥?2.CrossRef
    Alho P, Aaltonen J. 2008. Comparing a 1D hydraulic model with a 2D hydraulic model for the simulation of extreme glacial outburst floods. Hydrological Processes, 22(10): 1537鈥?547.CrossRef
    Alho P, Baker V R, Smith L N. 2010. Paleohydraulic reconstruction of the largest Glacial Lake Missoula draining (s). Quaternary Science Reviews, 29(23鈥?4): 3067鈥?078.CrossRef
    Allen S K, Schneider D, Owens I F. 2009. First approaches towards modelling glacial hazards in the Mount Cook region of New Zealand鈥檚 Southern Alps. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 9(2): 481鈥?99.CrossRef
    Aronica G T, Candela A, Fabio P, et al. 2012. Estimation of flood inundation probabilities using global hazard indexes based on hydrodynamic variables. Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, Parts A/B/C, 42鈥?4: 119鈥?29.CrossRef
    Bajracharya B, Shrestha A B, Rajbhandari L. 2007. Glacial lake outburst floods in the Sagarmatha region: Hazard assessment using GIS and hydrodynamic modeling. Mountain Research and Development, 27(4): 336鈥?44.CrossRef
    Balmforth N J, von Hardenberg J, Provenzale A, et al. 2008. Dam breaking by wave-induced erosional incision. Journal of Geophysical Research, 113(F1): F01020.CrossRef
    Blown I G, Church M. 1985. Catastrophic lake drainage within the Homathko River basin, British Columbia. Canadian Geotechnical Journal, 22(4): 551鈥?63.CrossRef
    Byers A C, McKinney D C, Somos-Valenzuela M, et al. 2013. Glacial lakes of the Hinku and Hongu valleys, Makalu Barun National Park and Buffer Zone, Nepal. Natural Hazards, 69(1): 115鈥?39.CrossRef
    Capart H. 2013. Analytical solutions for gradual dam breaching and downstream river flooding. Water Resources Research, 49(4): 1968鈥?987.CrossRef
    Carrivick J L. 2006. Application of 2D hydrodynamic modelling to high-magnitude outburst floods: An example from Kverkfj枚ll, Iceland. Journal of Hydrology, 321(1鈥?): 187鈥?99.CrossRef
    Casas A, Benito G, Thorndycraft V R, et al. 2006. The topographic data source of digital terrain models as a key element in the accuracy of hydraulic flood modelling. Earth Surface Processes and Landforms, 31(4): 444鈥?56.CrossRef
    Cenderelli D A, Wohl E E. 2001. Peak discharge estimates of glacial-lake outburst floods and 鈥渘ormal鈥?climatic floods in the Mount Everest region, Nepal. Geomorphology, 40(1鈥?): 57鈥?0.CrossRef
    Cenderelli D A, Wohl E E. 2003. Flow hydraulics and geomorphic effects of glacial-lake outburst floods in the Mount Everest region, Nepal. Earth Surface Processes and Landforms, 28(4): 385鈥?07.CrossRef
    Clague J J, Evans S G. 2000. A review of catastrophic drainage of moraine-dammed lakes in British Columbia. Quaternary Science Reviews, 19(17鈥?8): 1763鈥?783.CrossRef
    Cook A, Merwade V. 2009. Effect of topographic data, geometric configuration and modeling approach on flood inundation mapping. Journal of Hydrology, 377(1鈥?): 131鈥?42.CrossRef
    Costa J E. 1983. Paleohydraulic reconstruction of flash-flood peaks from boulder deposits in the Colorado Front Range. The Geological Society of America Bulletin, 94(8): 986鈥?004.CrossRef
    Evans S F. 1986. The maximum discharge of outburst floods caused by the breaching of man-made and natural dams. Canadian Geotechnical Journal, 23(3): 385鈥?87.CrossRef
    Fell R, Wan C F, Cyganiewicz J, et al. 2003. Time for development of internal erosion and piping in embankment dams. Journal of Geotechnical and Geoenvironmental Engineering, 129(4): 307鈥?14.CrossRef
    Fread D L. 1977. The development and testing of a dam
    eak flood forecasting model. In: Proceedings of the Dam-Break Flood Routing Model Workshop. Washington D.C.: Water Resources Council, 164鈥?97.
    Froehlich D C. 1995. Peak outflow from breached embankment dam. Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, 121(1): 90鈥?7.CrossRef
    Goodell C R, Brunner G W. 2008. A dam breach model of epic proportions: Simulating the Glacial Lake Missoula floods. In: World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2008: Ahupua鈥橝. Rerston, VA: ASCE, 1鈥?1.CrossRef
    Hagen V K. 1982. Re-evaluation of design floods and dam safety. In: Proceedings of the 14th Congress of International Commission on Large Dams, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
    Hanson G J, Cook K R. 2004. Apparatus, test procedures, and analytical methods to measure soil erodibility in situ. Applied Engineering in Agriculture, 20(4): 455鈥?62.CrossRef
    Hubbard B, Heald A, Reynolds J M, et al. 2005. Impact of a rock avalanche on a moraine-dammed proglacial lake: Laguna Safuna Alta, Cordillera Blanca, Peru. Earth Surface Processes and Landforms, 30(10): 1251鈥?264.CrossRef
    Huggel C, K盲盲b A, Haeberli W, et al. 2002. Remote sensing based assessment of hazards from glacier lake outbursts: A case study in the Swiss Alps. Canadian Geotechnical Journal, 39(2): 316鈥?30.CrossRef
    Huggel C, K盲盲b A, Haeberli W, et al. 2003. Regional-scale GIS-models for assessment of hazards from glacier lake outbursts: Evaluation and application in the Swiss Alps. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 3(6): 647鈥?62.CrossRef
    Huggel C, K盲盲b A, Salzmann N. 2004. GIS-based modeling of glacial hazards and their interactions using Landsat-TM and Ikonos imagery. Norsk Geografisk Tidsskrift-Norwegian Journal of Geography, 58(2): 61鈥?3.CrossRef
    Jain S K, Lohani A K, Singh R D, et al. 2012. Glacial lakes and glacial lake outburst flood in a Himalayan basin using remote sensing and GIS. Natural Hazards, 62(3): 887鈥?99.CrossRef
    Kershaw J A, Clague J J, Evans S G. 2005. Geomorphic and sedimentological signature of a two-phase outburst flood from moraine- dammed Queen Bess Lake, British Columbia, Canada. Earth Surface Processes and Landforms, 30(1): 1鈥?5.CrossRef
    MacDonald T C, Langridge-Monopolis J. 1984. Breaching charateristics of dam failures. Journal of Hydraulic Engineering, 110(5): 567鈥?86.CrossRef
    Meon G, Schwarz W. 1993. Estimation of Glacier Lake Outburst Flood and its impact on a hydro project in Nepal. In: Young G J. Proceedings of the International Symposium on Snow and Glacier Hydrology, IAHS Publication No. 218. Wallingford, England: IAHS, 331鈥?40.
    Mergili M, Schneider D, Worni R, et al. 2011. Glacial lake outburst floods in the Pamir of Tajikistan: Challenges in prediction and modelling. In: Proceeding of the 5th International Conference on Debris-Flow Hazards 鈥淢itigation, Mechanics, Prediction and Assessment鈥? Italy: University of Padova, 6: 14鈥?7.
    Mohamed M A A, Samuels P G, Morris M W, et al. 2002. Improving the accuracy of prediction of breach formation through embankment dams and flood embankments. In: River Flow 2002: 1st International Conference on Fluvial Hydraulics. Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium.
    Omer C R, Nelson E J, Zundel A K. 2003. Impact of varied data resolution on hydraulic modeling and floodplain delineation. Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 39(2): 467鈥?75.CrossRef
    Osti R, Egashira S. 2009. Hydrodynamic characteristics of the Tam Pokhari Glacial Lake outburst flood in the Mt. Everest region, Nepal. Hydrological Processes, 23(20): 2943鈥?955.CrossRef
    Osti R, Bhattarai T N, Miyake K. 2011. Causes of catastrophic failure of Tam Pokhari moraine dam in the Mt. Everest region. Natural Hazards, 58(3): 1209鈥?223.CrossRef
    Osti R, Egashira S, Adikari Y. 2013. Prediction and assessment of multiple glacial lake outburst floods scenario in Pho Chu River basin, Bhutan. Hydrological Processes, 27(2): 262鈥?74.CrossRef
    Patro S, Chatterjee C, Singh R, et al. 2009. Hydrodynamic modelling of a large flood-prone river system in India with limited data. Hydrological Processes, 23(19): 2774鈥?791.CrossRef
    Petrakov D A, Tutubalina O V, Aleinikov A A, et al. 2012. Monitoring of Bashkara Glacier lakes (Central Caucasus, Russia) and modelling of their potential outburst. Natural Hazards, 61(3): 1293鈥?316.CrossRef
    Pierce M W, Thornton C I, Abt S R. 2010. Predicting peak outflow from breached embankment dams. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 15(5): 338鈥?49.CrossRef
    Pitman E B, Patra A K, Kumar D, et al. 2013. Two phase simulations of glacier lake outburst flows. Journal of Computational Science, 4(1鈥?): 71鈥?9.CrossRef
    Pramanik N, Panda R K, Sen D. 2010. One dimensional hydrodynamic modeling of river flow using DEM extracted river cross-sections. Water Resources Management, 24(5): 835鈥?52.CrossRef
    Reynolds J M. 1992. The identification and mitigation of glacier-related hazards: Examples from the Cordillera Blanca, Peru. In: McCall G J H, Laming D J C, Scott S C. Geohazards. Netherlands: Springer, 143鈥?57.
    Reynolds International Ltd. 2014. Development of glacial hazard and risk minimisation protocols in rural environments: guidelines for the management of glacial hazards and risks. In: Reynolds Geo-Sciences Ltd. Project No. R7816. Mold, Flintshire, UK.
    Richardson S D, Reynolds J M. 2000. An overview of glacial hazards in the Himalayas. Quaternary International, 65鈥?6: 31鈥?7.CrossRef
    Riggs H C. 1976. A simplified slope-area method for estimating flood discharges in natural channels. Journal of Research US Geological Survey, 4: 285鈥?91.
    Sanders B F. 2007. Evaluation of on-line DEMs for flood inundation modeling. Advances in Water Resources, 30(8): 1831鈥?843.CrossRef
    Shrestha A B, Eriksson M, Mool P, et al. 2010. Glacial lake outburst flood risk assessment of Sun Koshi Basin, Nepal. Geomatics, Natural Hazards and Risk, 1(2): 157鈥?69.CrossRef
    Somos-Valenzuela M, McKinney D C. 2011. Modeling a glacial lake outburst flood (GLOF) from Palcacocha Lake, Peru. The University of Texas at Austin: Center for Research in Water Resources.
    Tarboton D G. 1997. A new method for the determination of flow directions and upslope areas in grid digital elevation models. Water Resources Research, 33(2): 309鈥?19.CrossRef
    Tie Y B, Tang C. 2009. Progress in glacier lake outburst assessment system. Advances in Water Science, 20(3): 448鈥?52. (in Chinese)
    US Army Corps of Engineers (USACE). 2010. HEC-RAS River Analysis System: Applications Guide (Version 4.1). Davis, CA: Hydrologic Engineering Center, 790.
    Vaughan D G, Comiso J C, Allison I, et al. 2013. Observations: Cryosphere. In: Stocker T F, Qin D, Plattner G K, et al. Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.
    Volz C, Rousselot P, Vetsch D, et al. 2010. Numerical modeling of dam breaching processes due to overtopping flow. In: Proceedings of 8th ICOLD European Club Symposium. Innsbruck, 691鈥?96.
    Walder J S, O鈥機onnor J E. 1997. Methods for predicting peak discharge of floods caused by failure of natural and constructed earthen dams. Water Resources Research, 33(10): 2337鈥?348.CrossRef
    Wang W C, Yao T D, Yang W, et al. 2012a. Methods for assessing regional glacial lake variation and hazard in the southeastern Tibetan Plateau: A case study from the Boshula mountain range, China. Environmental Earth Sciences, 67(5): 1441鈥?450.CrossRef
    Wang W C, Yang X X, Yao T D. 2012b. Evaluation of ASTER GDEM and SRTM and their suitability in hydraulic modelling of a glacial lake outburst flood in southeast Tibet. Hydrological Processes, 26(2): 213鈥?25.CrossRef
    Wang X. 2008. Methods and application for the hazard assessment of moraine dammed lake outburst floods in the Himalayas, China. PhD Dissertation. Beijing: Chinese Academy of Sciences. (in Chinese)
    Westoby M J, Glasser N F, Brasington J, et al. 2014a. Modelling outburst floods from moraine-dammed glacial lakes. Earth-Science Reviews, 134: 137鈥?59.CrossRef
    Westoby M J, Glasser N F, Hambrey M J, et al. 2014b. Reconstructing historic Glacial Lake Outburst Floods through numerical modelling and geomorphological assessment: Extreme events in the Himalaya. Earth Surface Processes and Landforms, 39(12): 1675鈥?692.
    Westoby M J, Brasington J, Glasser N F, et al. 2014c. Numerical modelling of Glacial Lake Outburst Floods using physically based dam
    each models. Earth Surface Dynamics Discussions, 2(1): 477鈥?33.CrossRef
    Westoby M J, Brasington J, Glasser N F, et al. 2014d. 鈥楽tructure-from-Motion鈥?photogrammetry: A low-cost, effective tool for geoscience applications. Geomorphology, 179: 300鈥?14.CrossRef
    Westoby M J, Brasington J, Glasser N F, et al. 2015. Numerical modelling of glacial lake outburst floods using physically based dam
    each models. Earth Surface Dynamics, 3(1): 171鈥?99.CrossRef
    Williams G P. 1978. Bank-full discharge of rivers. Water Resources Research, 14(6): 1141鈥?154.CrossRef
    Worni R, Stoffel M, Huggel C, et al. 2012. Analysis and dynamic modeling of a moraine failure and glacier lake outburst flood at Ventisquero Negro, Patagonian Andes (Argentina). Journal of Hydrology, 444鈥?45: 134鈥?45.CrossRef
    Xiang Y, Gao Y, Yao T D. 2014. Glacier change in the Poiqu River basin inferred from Landsat data from 1975 to 2010. Quaternary International, 349: 392鈥?01.CrossRef
    Xu D M. 1988. Characteristics of debris flow caused by outburst of glacial lake in Boqu River, Xizang, China, 1981. GeoJournal, 17(4): 569鈥?80.CrossRef
  • 作者单位:Xiujuan Zhang (1) (2)
    Shiyin Liu (1)

    1. State Key Laboratory of Cryospheric Sciences, Cold and Arid Regions Environmental and Engineering Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou, 730000, China
    2. University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100049, China
  • 刊物主题:Physical Geography; Plant Ecology; Sustainable Development;
  • 出版者:Springer Berlin Heidelberg
文摘
Glacial outburst floods (GLOFs) in alpine regions tend to be relatively complicated, multi-stage catastrophes, capable of causing significant geomorphologic changes in channel surroundings and posing severe threats to infrastructure and the safety and livelihoods of human communities. GLOF disasters have been observed and potential hazards can be foreseen due to the newly formed glacial lakes or the expansion of existing ones in the Poiqu River Basin in Tibet, China. Here we presented a synthesis of GLOF-related studies including triggering mechanism(s), dam breach modeling, and flood routing simulation that have been employed to reconstruct or forecast GLOF hydrographs. We provided a framework for probability-based GLOFs simulation and hazard mapping in the Poiqu River Basin according to available knowledge. We also discussed the uncertainties and challenges in the model chains, which may form the basis for further research. Keywords moraine-dammed glacial lakes glacial outburst floods dam breaching mechanisms dam-breach models flood routing models

© 2004-2018 中国地质图书馆版权所有 京ICP备05064691号 京公网安备11010802017129号

地址:北京市海淀区学院路29号 邮编:100083

电话:办公室:(+86 10)66554848;文献借阅、咨询服务、科技查新:66554700