Crime and Place: A Longitudinal Examination of Street Segment Patterns in Vancouver, BC

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• 作者：Andrea S. N. Curman (1)
  Martin A. Andresen (2)
  Paul J. Brantingham (2)
  
  1. Police Services ; Ministry of Justice ; Province of British Columbia ; Burnaby ; BC ; Canada
  2. School of Criminology ; Institute for Canadian Urban Research Studies ; Simon Fraser University ; 8888 University Drive ; Burnaby ; BC ; V5A 1S6 ; Canada
  
• 关键词：Crime and place ; Trajectory analysis ; Spatial criminology
• 刊名：Journal of Quantitative Criminology
• 出版年：2015
• 出版时间：March 2015
• 年：2015
• 卷：31
• 期：1
• 页码：127-147
• 全文大小：1,001 KB
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• 刊物类别：Humanities, Social Sciences and Law
• 刊物主题：Social Sciences
  Criminology & Criminal Justice
  Sociology
  Methodology of the Social Sciences
  Statistics
  
• 出版者：Springer Netherlands
• ISSN：1573-7799

文摘

Objectives To test the generalizability of previous crime and place trajectory analysis research on a different geographic location, Vancouver BC, and using alternative methods. Methods A longitudinal analysis of a 16-year data set using the street segment as the unit of analysis. We use both the group-based trajectory model and a non-parametric cluster analysis technique termed k-means that does not require the same degree of assumptions as the group-based trajectory model. Results The majority of street blocks in Vancouver evidence stable crime trends with a minority that reveal decreasing crime trends. The use of the k-means has a significant impact on the results of the analysis through a reduction in the number of classes, but the qualitative results are similar. Conclusions The qualitative results of previous crime and place trajectory analyses are confirmed. Though the different trajectory analysis methods generate similar results, the non-parametric k-means model does significantly change the results. As such, any data set that does not satisfy the assumptions of the group-based trajectory model should use an alternative such as k-means.