Daily ambient air mean NO2 concentration modeling and forecasting based on the elliptic-orbit model with weekly quasi-periodic extension: a case study
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- 作者：Zong-chang Yang (1)
1. School of Information and Electronical Engineering ; Hunan University of Science and Technology ; Xiangtan ; 411201 ; China - 关键词：NO2 concentration ; Daily movement ; Weekly quasi ; periodic extension ; Elliptic orbit model ; Evaluation and forecasting
- 刊名：Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)
- 出版年：2015
- 出版时间：February 2015
- 年：2015
- 卷：29
- 期：2
- 页码：547-561
- 全文大小：2,750 KB
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24. Yang Z (2014) Modeling and forecasting daily movement of ambient air mean PM2.5 concentration based on the elliptic-orbit model with weekly quasi-periodic extension: a case study. Environ Sci Pollut Res (in press)
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- 刊物主题：Environment
Mathematical Applications in Environmental Science
Mathematical Applications in Geosciences
Probability Theory and Stochastic Processes
Statistics for Engineering, Physics, Computer Science, Chemistry and Geosciences
Numerical and Computational Methods in Engineering
Waste Water Technology, Water Pollution Control, Water Management and Aquatic Pollution - 出版者：Springer Berlin / Heidelberg
- ISSN：1436-3259
文摘
Air pollution has been an internationally growing concern. Modeling and forecasting daily movement of ambient air mean NO2 concentration is an increasingly important task for its adverse effects on human health. With weekly quasi-periodic extension for daily movement of mean NO2 concentration, the elliptic orbit model is introduced to depict its movement. Daily movement of mean NO2 concentration as a time-series is mapped into the polar coordinates to build the elliptic orbit model, in which each 7-day-movement is described as one elliptic orbit. Experiments and result analysis indicate workability and effectiveness of the proposed method. It is shown that with weekly quasi-periodic extension, daily movements of mean NO2 concentration at the given monitoring stations in China are well described by the elliptic orbit model, which presents a vivid description for analyzing daily movement of mean NO2 concentration in a concise and intuitive way.