Stochastic tracking of mesoscale convective systems: evaluation in the West African Sahel
详细信息 查看全文
- 作者：Alexandros Makris ; Clémentine Prieur…
- 刊名：Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)
- 出版年：2016
- 出版时间：February 2016
- 年：2016
- 卷：30
- 期：2
- 页码：681-691
- 全文大小：1,190 KB
- 参考文献：Addesso P, Conte R, Longo M, Restaino R, Vivone G (2012) Map-mrf cloud detection based on phd filtering. Sel Top Appl Earth Obs Remote Sens IEEE J 5(3):919–929. doi:10.1109/JSTARS.2012.2191144 CrossRef
Avenel C, Mmin E, Prez P (2014) Stochastic level set dynamics to track closed curves through image data. J Math Imaging Vis 49(2):296–316. doi:10.1007/s10851-013-0464-1 CrossRef
Balme M, Vischel T, Lebel T, Peugeot C, Galle S (2006) Assessing the water balance in the sahel: impact of small scale rainfall variability on runoff: part 1: rainfall variability analysis. J Hydrol 331(1–2):336–348CrossRef
Bar-Shalom Y, Willett PK, Tian X (2011) Tracking and data fusion: a handbook of algorithms, YBS Publishing, Storrs
Blackman S (2004) Multiple hypothesis tracking for multiple target tracking. Aerosp Electron Syst Mag IEEE 19(1):5–18. doi:10.1109/MAES.2004.1263228 CrossRef
Desbois M, Kayiranga T, Gnamien B, Guessous S, Picon L (1988) Characterization of some elements of the sahelian climate and theirinterannual variations for july 1983, 1984 and 1985 from theanalysis of METEOSAT ISCCP data. J Clim 1(9),867–904 (1988). doi:10.1175/1520-0442 CrossRef
Dixon M, Wiener G (1993) TITAN: thunderstorm identification, tracking, analysis and nowcasting—a radar-based methodology. J Atmos Ocean Technol 10:785–797CrossRef
Fiolleau T, Roca R (2013) An algorithm for the detection and tracking of tropical mesoscale convective systems using infrared images from geostationary satellite. Geosci Remote Sens IEEE Trans 51(7):4302–4315. doi:10.1109/TGRS.2012.2227762 CrossRef
Goutte C, Gaussier E (2005) A probabilistic interpretation of precision, recall and f-score, with implication for evaluation. In: Advances in information retrieval. Springer, Berlin, pp 345–359
Guillot G, Lebel T (1999) Approximation of sahelian rainfall fields with meta-gaussian random functions. Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess 13(1–2):113–130CrossRef
Houze RA (2004) Mesoscale convective systems. Rev Geophys 42(4):1944–9208. doi:10.1029/2004RG000150 CrossRef
Johnson J, MacKeen P, Witt A, Mitchell E, Stumpf G, Eilts M, Thomas K (1998) The storm cell identification and tracking algorithm: an enhanced WSR-88D algorithm. Weather Forecast 13:263–276CrossRef
Kastella K (1995) Event-averaged maximum likelihood estimation and mean-field theory in multitarget tracking. Autom Control IEEE Trans 40(6):1070–1074. doi:10.1109/9.388686 CrossRef
Kreucher C, Kastella K, Hero A (2005) Multitarget tracking using the joint multitarget probability density. Aerosp Electron Syst IEEE Trans 41(4):1396–1414. doi:10.1109/TAES.2005.1561892 CrossRef
Kwon HH, Lall U, Obeysekera J (2009) Simulation of daily rainfall scenarios with interannual and multidecadal climate cycles for south florida. Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess 23(7):879–896. doi:10.1007/s00477-008-0270-2 CrossRef
Lakshmanan V, Miller M, Smith T (2013) Quality control of accumulated fields by applying spatial and temporal constraints. J Atmos Ocean Technol 30:745–757CrossRef
Lebel T, Ali A (2009) Recent trends in the central and western sahel rainfall regime (1990–2007). J Hydrol 375(1–2):52–64CrossRef
Lebel T, Delclaux F, Le Barb L, Polcher J (2000) From gcm scales to hydrological scales: rainfall variability in west africa. Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess 14(4–5):275–295. doi:10.1007/s004770000050 CrossRef
Lebel T, Diedhiou A, Laurent H (2003) Seasonal cycle and interannual variability of the sahelian rainfall at hydrological scales. J Geophys Res 108:83–89. doi:10.1029/2001JD001,580
Long T, Zheng L, Chen X, Li Y, Zeng T (2011) Improved probabilistic multi-hypothesis tracker for multiple target tracking with switching attribute states. Signal Process IEEE Trans 59(12):5721–5733. doi:10.1109/TSP.2011.2167616 CrossRef
Ma J, Antoniadis A, Le Dimet FX (2006) Curvelet-based snake for multiscale detection and tracking of geophysical fluids. Geosci Remote Sens IEEE Trans 44(12):3626–3638. doi:10.1109/TGRS.2006.885017 CrossRef
Mahler R (2003) Multitarget bayes filtering via first-order multitarget moments. Aerosp Electron Syst IEEE Trans 39(4):1152–1178. doi:10.1109/TAES.2003.1261119 CrossRef
Makris A, Prieur C (2014) Bayesian multiple-hypothesis tracking of merging and splitting targets. Geosci Remote Sens IEEE Trans 52(12):7684–7694. doi:10.1109/TGRS.2014.2316600 CrossRef
Mathon V, Laurent H (2001) Life cycle of sahelian mesoscale convective cloud systems. Q J R Meteorol Soc 127(572):377–406. doi:10.1002/qj.49712757208 CrossRef
Mathon V, Laurent H, Lebel T (2002) Mesoscale convective system rainfall in the sahel. J Appl Meteorol 41:1081–1092CrossRef
Miller ML, Lakshmanan V, Smith TM (2012) An automated method for depicting mesocyclone paths and intensities. Weather Forecas 28(3):570–585. doi:10.1175/WAF-D-12-00065.1 CrossRef
Morelande M, Kreucher C, Kastella K (2007) A bayesian approach to multiple target detection and tracking. Signal Process IEEE Trans 55(5):1589–1604. doi:10.1109/TSP.2006.889470 CrossRef
Mukherjee D, Acton S (2002) Cloud tracking by scale space classification. Geosci Remote Sens IEEE Trans 40(2):405–415. doi:10.1109/36.992803 CrossRef
Onof C, Chandler RE, Kakou A, Northrop P, Wheater HS, Isham V (2000) Rainfall modelling using poisson-cluster processes: a review of developments. Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess 14(6):384–411. doi:10.1007/s004770000043 CrossRef
Panta K, Vo BN, Singh S (2007) Novel data association schemes for the probability hypothesis density filter. Aerosp Electron Syst IEEE Trans 43(2):556–570. doi:10.1109/TAES.2007.4285353 CrossRef
Panta K, Clark D, Vo BN (2009) Data association and track management for the gaussian mixture probability hypothesis density filter. Aerosp Electron Syst IEEE Trans 45(3):1003–1016. doi:10.1109/TAES.2009.5259179 CrossRef
Panthou G, Vischel T, Lebel T (2014) Recent trends in the regime of extreme rainfall in the central sahel. International Journal of Climatology 34:3998–4006. doi:10.1002/joc.3984 CrossRef
Papin C, Bouthemy P, Mémin E, Rochard G (2000) Tracking and characterization of highly deformable cloud structures. In: Vernon D (ed) Computer vision ECCV 2000, lecture notes in computer science, vol 1843. Springer, Berlin, pp 428–442. doi:10.1007/3-540-45053-X_28 CrossRef
Pece AEC (2002) The problem of sparse image coding. J Math Imaging Vis 17(2):89–108. doi:10.1023/A:1020677318841 . Special issue on statistics of shapes and texturesCrossRef
Pulford G (2005) Taxonomy of multiple target tracking methods. Radar Sonar Navig IEE Proc 152(5):291–304. doi:10.1049/ip-rsn:20045064 CrossRef
Reid DB (1979) An algorithm for tracking multiple targets. IEEE Trans Autom Control 24:843–854CrossRef
Root B, Yu TY, Yeary M (2011) Consistent clustering of radar reflectivities using strong point analysis: a prelude to storm tracking. Geosci Remote Sens Lett IEEE 8(2):273–277. doi:10.1109/LGRS.2010.2070787 CrossRef
Salari V, Sethi IK (1990) Feature point correspondence in the presence of occlusion. IEEE Trans Pattern Anal Mach Intel 12(1):87–91CrossRef
Sethi IK, Jain R (1987) Finding trajectories of feature points in a monocular image sequence. Pattern Anal Mach Intel IEEE Trans 1:56–73CrossRef
Storlie C, Lee T, Hannig J, Nychka D (2009) Tracking of multiple merging and splitting targets: a statistical perspective. Statistica Sinica 19(1):1–52. doi:URL http://nldr.library.ucar.edu/repository/collections/OSGC-000-000-000-072
Thomas C, Corpetti T, Memin E (2010) Data assimilation for convective-cell tracking on meteorological image sequences. Geosci Remote Sens IEEE Trans 48(8):3162–3177. doi:10.1109/TGRS.2010.2045504 CrossRef
Ulmke M, Erdinc O, Willett P (2007) Gaussian mixture cardinalized phd filter for ground moving target tracking. In: Information fusion, 2007 10th international conference on, pp. 1–8. doi: 10.1109/ICIF.2007.4408105
Vila DA, Machado LAT, Laurent H, Velasco I (2008) Forecast and tracking the evolution of cloud clusters (fortracc) using satellite infrared imagery: methodology and validation. Weather Forecast 23(2):233–245. doi:10.1175/2007WAF2006121.1 CrossRef
Vischel T, Lebel T, Massuel S, Cappelaere B (2009) Conditional simulation schemes of rain fields and their application to rainfallrunoff modeling studies in the sahel. J Hydrol 375(12), 273–286. doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2009.02.028 . Surface processes and water cycle in West Africa, studied from the AMMA-CATCH observing system
Vischel T, Quantin G, Lebel T, Viarre J, Gosset M, Cazenave F, Panthou G (2011) Generation of high resolution rainfields in west Africa: evaluation of dynamical interpolation methods. J Hydrometeorol. doi:10.1175/JHM-D-10-05015.1
Vo BN, Ma WK (2006) The gaussian mixture probability hypothesis density filter. Signal Process IEEE Trans 54(11):4091–4104. doi:10.1109/TSP.2006.881190 CrossRef
Vo BN, Singh S, Doucet A (2005) Sequential monte carlo methods for multitarget filtering with random finite sets. Aerosp Electron Syst IEEE Trans 41(4):1224–1245. doi:10.1109/TAES.2005.1561884 CrossRef
Vo BT, Vo BN, Cantoni A (2006) The cardinalized probability hypothesis density filter for linear gaussian multi-target models. In: Information sciences and systems, 2006 40th annual conference on, pp. 681–686. doi: 10.1109/CISS.2006.286554
Wu SJ, Tung YK, Yang JC (2006) Stochastic generation of hourly rainstorm events. Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess 21(2):195–212. doi:10.1007/s00477-006-0056-3 CrossRef - 作者单位：Alexandros Makris (1)
Clémentine Prieur (2)
Théo Vischel (3)
Guillaume Quantin (3)
Thierry Lebel (3)
Rémy Roca (4)
1. ICS FORTH, Crete, Greece
2. INRIA Grenoble, Grenoble, France
3. LTHE, Universit Joseph Fourier, Grenoble, France
4. OMP/LEGOS/CNRS, Toulouse, France - 刊物类别：Earth and Environmental Science
- 刊物主题：Environment
Mathematical Applications in Environmental Science
Mathematical Applications in Geosciences
Probability Theory and Stochastic Processes
Statistics for Engineering, Physics, Computer Science, Chemistry and Geosciences
Numerical and Computational Methods in Engineering
Waste Water Technology, Water Pollution Control, Water Management and Aquatic Pollution - 出版者：Springer Berlin / Heidelberg
- ISSN：1436-3259
文摘
In this work we apply a recently proposed Bayesian multiple target tracking model to mesoscale convective systems tracking. This stochastic model follows the multiple hypothesis tracking paradigm and can handle a varying number of targets while detecting the target birth, death, split, and merge events. The model is tested experimentally with real MCS targets detected from meteosat IR data over the Sahelian region. The performance of the stochastic tracking is evaluated by comparing it qualitatively and quantitatively with well established deterministic methods.