Impact of Human Intervention and Climate Change on Natural Flow Regime
详细信息 查看全文
- 作者：Neha Mittal ; Ajay Gajanan Bhave ; Ashok Mishra ; Rajendra Singh
- 关键词：Anthropogenic impact ; Climate change ; Flow alteration ; IHA ; RCM ; SWAT
- 刊名：Water Resources Management
- 出版年：2016
- 出版时间：January 2016
- 年：2016
- 卷：30
- 期：2
- 页码：685-699
- 全文大小：1,031 KB
- 参考文献：Abbaspour KC, Yang J, Maximov I, Siber R, Bogner K, Mieleitner J, Zobrist J, Srinivasan R (2007) Modelling hydrology and water quality in the pre-alpine/alpine thur watershed using SWAT. J Hydrol 333:413–430CrossRef
Arnell NW, Gosling SN (2013) The impacts of climate change on river flow regimes at the global scale. J Hydrol 486:351–364CrossRef
Bates B, Kundzewicz ZW, Wu S, Palutikof J (2008) Climate change and water. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
Bunn SE, Arthington AH (2002) Basic principles and ecological consequences of altered flow regimes for aquatic biodiversity. Environ Manag 30:492–507CrossRef
Carlisle DM, Wolock DM, Meador MR (2010) Alteration of streamflow magnitudes and potential ecological consequences: a multiregional assessment. Front Ecol Environ 9:264–270CrossRef
Döll P, Zhang J (2010) Impact of climate change on freshwater ecosystems: a global-scale analysis of ecologically relevant river flow alterations. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci Discuss 7:1305–1342CrossRef
Faramarzi M, Yang H, Mousavi J, Schulin R, Binder CR, Abbaspour KC (2010) Analysis of intra-country virtual water trade strategy to alleviate water scarcity in Iran. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci Discuss 7(2)
Freeman MC, Bowen ZH, Bovee KD, Irwin ER (2001) Flow and habitat effects on juvenile fish abundance in natural and altered flow regimes. Ecol Appl 11:179–190CrossRef
Fung F, Watts G, Lopez A, Orr HG, New M, Extence C (2013) Using large climate ensembles to plan for the hydrological impact of climate change in the freshwater environment. Wat Resour Mgmt 27(4):1063–1084CrossRef
Giri A, Pradhan P, Chakraborty SK (2008) Studies on hydrobiological status of Kansai and dwarkeswar rivers in West Bengal, India. J Inland Fish Soc 40:59–64
Hamilton F (1822) Account of the fishes found in the river Ganges and its branches. Edinburg, London 1-405
IUCN (2013) Red List of Threatened Species. Version 2013.2. www.iucnredlist.org
Jung IW, Bae DH, Lee BJ (2012) Possible change in Korean streamflow seasonality based on multi-model climate projections. Hydrol Process. doi:10.1002/hyp.9215
Kennard MJ, Pusey BJ, Olden JD, MacKay SJ, Stein JL, Marsh N (2010) Classification of natural flow regimes in Australia to support environmental flow management. Freshw Biol 55:171–193CrossRef
Lakra WS, Sarkar UK, Dubey VK, Sani R, Pandey A (2011) River inter linking in India: status, issues, prospects and implications on aquatic ecosystems and freshwater fish diversity. Rev Fish Biol Fisher 21:463–479CrossRef
Lisle TE (1989) Sediment transport and resulting deposition in spawning gravels, north coastal California. Water Resour Res 25:1303–1319CrossRef
Lytle DA, Poff NL (2004) Adaptation to natural flow regimes. Trends Ecol Evol 19:94–100CrossRef
Maurer EP, Pierce DW (2014) Bias correction can modify climate model-simulated precipitation changes without adverse affect on the ensemble mean. Hydrol Earth Syst Sc 18:915–925CrossRef
Meijer KS, Van der Krogt WNM, Van Beek E (2012) A new approach to incorporating environmental flow requirements in water allocation modeling. Wat Resour Mgmt 26(5):1271–1286CrossRef
Mishra AK, Coulibaly P (2009) Developments in hydrometric network design: a review. Rev Geophys 47(2)
Mishra AK, Desai VR (2005) Drought forecasting using stochastic models. Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess 19:326–339CrossRef
Mittal N, Mishra A, Singh R (2013) Combining climatological and participatory approaches for assessing changes in extreme climatic indices at regional scale. Clim Chang 1-13
Moriasi DN, Arnold JG, Van Liew MW, Bingner RL, Harmel RD, Veith TL (2007) Model evaluation guidelines for systematic quantification of accuracy in watershed simulations. T ASAE 50:885–900CrossRef
Neitsch SL, Arnold JG, Kiniry JR, Williams JR (2009) Soil and Water Assessment Tool: Theoretical Documentation, Version 2009. URL: http://twri.tamu.edu/reports/2011/tr406.pdf
Olden JD, Poff NL (2003) Redundancy and the choice of hydrologic indices for characterizing streamflow regimes. River Res Appl 19:101–121CrossRef
Poff NL, Zimmerman JK (2010) Ecological responses to altered flow regimes: a literature review to inform the science and management of environmental flows. Freshw Biol 55:194–205CrossRef
Poff NL, Allan JD, Bain MB, Karr JR, Prestegaard KL, Richter BD, Sparks RE, Stromberg JC (1997) The natural flow regime. BioSci 47:769–784CrossRef
Pradhan P, Mishra SS, Chakraborty SK, Bhakat RK (2005) Diversity of freshwater macrophytic vegetation of six rivers of South West Bengal. Trop Ecol 46:193–202
Ravazzani G, Barbero S, Salandin A, Senatore A, Mancini M (2014) An integrated hydrological model for assessing climate change impacts on water resources of the upper Po river basin. Wat Resour Mgmt 29(4):1193–1215CrossRef
Richter BD, Baumgartner JV, Wigington R, Braun DP (1997) How much water does a river Need? Freshw Biol 37:231–249CrossRef
Ritter A, Muñoz-Carpena R (2013) Performance evaluation of hydrological models: statistical significance for reducing subjectivity in goodness-of-fit assessments. J Hydrol 480:33–45CrossRef
Sarkar UK, Bain MB (2007) Priority habitats for the conservation of large river fish in the Ganges river basin. Aquatic Conserv Mar Freshw Ecosyst 17:349–359CrossRef
Saxena RP (2012) Impacts of Kangsabati Project, India. In Impacts of Large Dams: A Global Assessment (277–298). Springer Berlin Heidelberg
Sharma CM, Shrestha J (2001) Fish diversity and fishery resources of the Tinau River, Western Nepal. Environment and Agriculture: Biodiversity, Agriculture and Pollution in South Asia. Ecological Society (ECOS), Kathmandu, pp. 78–83
Simmons AS, Uppala DD, Kobayashi S (2007) ERA-interim: new ECMWF reanalysis products from 1989 onwards. ECMWF Newsl 110:29–35
Suen JP (2011) Determining the ecological flow regime for existing reservoir operation. Wat Resour Mgmt 25(3):817–835CrossRef
Suren AM, Riis T (2010) The effects of plant growth on stream invertebrate communities during low flow: a conceptual model. J N Am Bentho Soc 29:711–724CrossRef
Termvidchakorn A, Hortle KG (2013) A guide to larvae and juveniles of some common fish species from the Mekong River Basin. MRC Technical Paper No. 38. Mekong River Commission, Phnom Penh. 234 pp. ISSN: 1683–1489
The Nature Conservancy (2009) Indicators of hydrologic alteration, version 7.1. User’s manual. URL:http://www.conservationgateway.org/ConservationPractices/Freshwater/EnvironmentalFlows/MethodsandTools/IndicatorsofHydrologicAlteration/Pages/IHA-Software-Download.aspx
Vaghefi AS, Mousavi SJ, Abbaspour KC, Srinivasan R, Yang H (2013) Analyses of the impact of climate change on water resources components, drought and wheat yield in semiarid regions: Karkheh river basin in Iran. Hydrol Process. doi:10.1002/hyp.9747
Wagener T, Sivapalan M, Troch PA, McGlynn BL, Harman CJ, Gupta HV, Kumar P, Rao SC, Basu NB, Wilson JS (2010) The future of hydrology: an evolving science for a changing world. Water Resour Res 46(5):W05301CrossRef
Wootton JT, Parker MS, Power ME (1996) The effect of disturbance on river food webs. Science 273:1558–1561CrossRef
Zolezzi G, Bellin A, Bruno MC, Maiolini B, Siviglia A (2009) Assessing hydrological alterations at multiple temporal scales: Adige river, Italy. Water Resour Res 45(12) - 作者单位：Neha Mittal (1)
Ajay Gajanan Bhave (2)
Ashok Mishra (3)
Rajendra Singh (3)
1. School of Earth and Environment, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK
2. Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, UK
3. Agricultural and Food Engineering Department, Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur, Kharagpur, India - 刊物类别：Earth and Environmental Science
- 刊物主题：Earth sciences
Hydrogeology
Geotechnical Engineering
Meteorology and Climatology
Civil Engineering
Environment - 出版者：Springer Netherlands
- ISSN：1573-1650
文摘
According to the ‘natural flow paradigm’, any departure from the natural flow condition will alter the river ecosystem. River flow regimes have been modified by anthropogenic interventions and climate change is further expected to affect the biotic interactions and the distribution of stream biota by altering streamflow. This study aims to evaluate the hydrologic alteration caused by dam construction and climatic changes in a mesoscale river basin, which is prone to both droughts and monsoonal floods. To analyse the natural flow regime, 15 years of observed streamflow (1950–1965) prior to dam construction is used. Future flow regime is simulated by a calibrated hydrological model Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT), using ensemble of four high resolution (~25 km) Regional Climate Model (RCM) simulations for the near future (2021–2050) based on the SRES A1B scenario. Finally, to quantify the hydrological alterations of different flow characteristics, the Indicators of Hydrological Alteration (IHA) program based on the Range of Variability Approach (RVA) is used. This approach enables the assessment of ecologically sensitive streamflow parameters for the pre- and post-impact periods in the regions where availability of long-term ecological data is a limiting factor. Results indicate that flow variability has been significantly reduced due to dam construction with high flows being absorbed and pre-monsoon low flows being enhanced by the reservoir. Climate change alone may reduce high peak flows while a combination of dam and climate change may significantly reduce variability by affecting both high and low flows, thereby further disrupting the functioning of riverine ecosystems. We find that, in the Kangsabati River basin, influence of dam is greater than that of the climate change, thereby emphasizing the significance of direct human intervention. Keywords Anthropogenic impact Climate change Flow alteration IHA RCM SWAT