Numerical assessments of the impacts of climate change on regional groundwater systems in a paddy-dominated alluvial fan

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• 作者：Yumi Yoshioka ; Kimihito Nakamura ; Haruhiko Horino…
• 关键词：Climate change ; Groundwater ; Paddy field ; HYDRUS ; 1D ; MODFLOW
• 刊名：Paddy and Water Environment
• 出版年：2016
• 出版时间：January 2016
• 年：2016
• 卷：14
• 期：1
• 页码：93-103
• 全文大小：1,490 KB
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• 作者单位：Yumi Yoshioka (1)
  Kimihito Nakamura (2)
  Haruhiko Horino (3)
  Shigeto Kawashima (2)
  
  1. Faculty of Agriculture, Tottori University, 4-101 Koyama-cho Minami, Tottori, 680-8550, Japan
  2. Graduate School of Agriculture, Kyoto University, Kitashirakawa Oiwake-cho, Sakyo-Ku, Kyoto, 606-8502, Japan
  3. Graduate School of Life and Environmental Sciences, Osaka Prefecture University, 1-1 Gakuen-cho, Naka-ku, Sakai, Osaka, 599-8531, Japan
  
• 刊物类别：Biomedical and Life Sciences
• 刊物主题：Life Sciences
  Agriculture
  Hydrogeology
  Geoecology and Natural Processes
  Monitoring, Environmental Analysis and Environmental Ecotoxicology
  Soil Science and Conservation
  Waste Water Technology, Water Pollution Control, Water Management and Aquatic Pollution
  
• 出版者：Springer Berlin / Heidelberg
• ISSN：1611-2504

文摘

Quantitative assessment of the impacts of climate change on groundwater levels is important for sustainable groundwater use. This study examined the Tedori River alluvial fan in Ishikawa Prefecture, Japan, where paddy fields occupy 45 % of the total area. A regional groundwater flow model simulated future groundwater levels in response to 38 climate change projections generated for each of three GCMs, using three GHG emission scenarios with the ELPIS-JP datasets. The numerical groundwater flow model consisted of a 1-D unsaturated water flow model (HYDRUS-1D) for estimating groundwater recharge and a 3-D groundwater flow model (MODFLOW). Variable parameters consisted of daily air temperature, precipitation, humidity, solar radiation, and wind speed, which influence groundwater through infiltration, evapotranspiration, snowfall, and snowmelt. Groundwater levels had both decreasing and increasing trends, depending on climate change. There were more decreasing than increasing trends, and the maximum groundwater drawdown during 2010–2090 was ~1 m. Groundwater level was most sensitive to change in rate of precipitation during the non-irrigation period. Variations of relatively low-intensity precipitation days, when daily precipitation was <10 mm, had an effect on groundwater level. These results contribute to development of adaptive and sustainable groundwater managements (e.g. land use management and pumping strategies) in the future. Keywords Climate change Groundwater Paddy field HYDRUS-1D MODFLOW