Time series prediction with improved neuro-endocrine model
详细信息    查看全文
  • 作者:Debao Chen (1)
    Jiangtao Wang (1)
    Feng Zou (1)
    Wujie Yuan (1)
    Weibo Hou (2)
  • 关键词:Neuro ; endocrine model ; Neural network ; Particle swarm optimization (PSO) ; Time series prediction
  • 刊名:Neural Computing & Applications
  • 出版年:2014
  • 出版时间:May 2014
  • 年:2014
  • 卷:24
  • 期:6
  • 页码:1465-1475
  • 全文大小:656 KB
  • 参考文献:1. Zhang J, Chung SH, Lo WL (2008) Chaotic time series prediction using a neuro-fuzzy system with time-delay coordinates. IEEE Trans Knowl Data Eng 20(7):956鈥?64 CrossRef
    2. Gooijer JGD, Hyndman RJ (2006) 25聽years of time series forecasting. Int J Forecast 22:443鈥?73 CrossRef
    3. Aliev R, Fazlollahi B, Guirimov B (2008) Linguistic time series forecasting using fuzzy recurrent neural network. Soft Comput 12(2):183鈥?90 CrossRef
    4. Wedding DK II, Cios KJ (1996) Time series forecasting by combining RBF networks, certainty factors, and the Box-Jenkins model. Neurocomputing 10(2):149鈥?68 CrossRef
    5. Lee CC, Chiang YC, Shih CY, Tsai CL (2009) Noisy time series prediction using M-estimator based robust radial basis function neural networks with growing and pruning techniques. Expert Syst Appl 36(3):4717鈥?724 CrossRef
    6. Lee CM, Ko CN (2009) Time series prediction using RBF neural networks with a nonlinear time-varying evolution PSO algorithm. Neurocomputing 73(1鈥?):449鈥?60 CrossRef
    7. Yadav A, Mishra D, Yadav RN, Ray S, Kalra PK (2007) Time series prediction with single integrate-and-fire neuron. Appl Soft Comput 7:739鈥?45 CrossRef
    8. Zhao L, Yang Y (2009) PSO-based single multiplicative neuron model for time series prediction. Expert Syst Appl 36(2):2805鈥?812 CrossRef
    9. de Castro LN, Von Zuben FJ (2005) Recent developments in biologically inspired computing. Idea group publishing, ch. Once more unto the breach: towards artificial homeostasis, pp 340鈥?65
    10. Vargas P, Moioli R, de Castro LN, Timmis J, Neal M, Von Zuben FJ (2005) Artificial homeostatic system: a novel approach. In: Proceedings advances in artificial life: 8th European Conference, ser. LNAI, no. 3630, 2005, pp 754鈥?63
    11. Sauze C, Neal M (2007) Endocrine inspired modulation of artificial neural networks for mobile robotics. Dynamics of learning behavior and neuromodulation workshop, European conference on artificial life 2007, Lisbon, Portugal, September 10鈥?4th
    12. Timmis J, Neal M (February 2003) Artificial homeostasis: integrating biologically inspired computing. Technical report UWA-DCS-03-043, University of Wales, Aberystwyth
    13. Julian JH, David PB (2004) An artificial neuro-endocrine kinematics model for legged robot obstacle negotiation. In: Proceedings of the 8th ESA workshop on advanced space technologies for robotics and automation, 鈥楢STRA 2004鈥?ESTEC, Noordwijk, The Netherlands, November 2鈥?
    14. Timmis J, Neal M, Thorniley J (2009) An adaptive neuro-endocrine system for robotic systems. In: Workshop on robotic intelligence in informationally structured space, RIISS鈥?9, EEE, pp 129鈥?36
    15. Frank RJ, Davey N, Hunt SP (2001) Time series prediction and neural networks. J Intell Rob Syst 31(1鈥?):91鈥?03 CrossRef
    16. Kennedy J, Eberhart RC (1995) Particle swarm optimization. In: Proceedings IEEE int鈥? conference on neural networks. Piscataway: IEEE Press, pp 1942鈥?948
    17. Yuhui S, Eberhart R (1998) A modified swarm optimizer. In: Proceedings of IEEE international conference on evolutionary computation. NJ: IEEE. press, Piscataway, pp 69鈥?3
    18. Mackey M, Glass L (1977) Oscillation and chaos in physiological control systems. Science 197:287鈥?89 CrossRef
    19. Samsudin R, Shabri A, Saad P (2010) A comparison of time series forecasting using support vector machine and artificial neural network model. J Appl Sci 10(11):950鈥?58 CrossRef
    20. Kaboudan MA (July 2000) Evaluation of forecasts produced by genetically evolved models. In: Proceedings, 6th international conference on computing in economics and finance, society for computational economics, Barcelona
    21. Kim D, Kim C (1997) Forecasting time series with genetic fuzzy predictor ensembles. IEEE Trans Fuzzy Syst 5:523鈥?35 CrossRef
    22. Rojas I, Pomares H, Bernier JL et al (2002) Time series analysis using normalized PG-RBF network with regression weights. Neurocomputing 42(1鈥?):267鈥?85 CrossRef
    23. Wang LX, Mendel JM (1992) Generating fuzzy rules by learning from examples. IEEE Trans Syst Man Cybern 22(6):1414鈥?427 CrossRef
    24. Chen YH, Yang B, Dong JW (2006) Time-series prediction using a local linear wavelet neural network. Neurocomputing 69:449鈥?65 CrossRef
    25. Xu CW (1987) Fuzzy model identification and self-learning for dynamic systems. IEEE Trans Syst Man Cybern 17:683鈥?89 CrossRef
    26. Box GEP (1970) Time series analysis, forecasting and control. Holden Day, San Francisco
    27. Surmann H, Kanstein A, Goser K (1993) Self-organising and genetic algorithm for an automatic design of fuzzy control and decision systems. Proc FUFIT鈥檚 93:1079鈥?104
    28. Jang JSR, Sun CT, Mizutani E (1997) Neuro-fuzzy and soft computing: a computational approach to learning and machine intelligence. Prentice-Hall, Upper Saddle River
    29. Tong RM (1980) The evaluation of fuzzy models derived from experimental data. Fuzzy Sets Syst 4:1鈥?2 CrossRef
    30. Pedtycz W (1984) An identification algorithm in fuzzy relational systems. Fuzzy Sets Syst 13:153鈥?67 CrossRef
    31. Chen YH, Yang B, Dong JW (2004) Neuro-fuzzy and soft computing: a computational approach to learning and machine intelligence. Int J Neural Syst 14(2):1鈥?3 CrossRef
    32. Lee CC et al (1994) A combined approach to fuzzy model identification. IEEE Trans Syst Man Cybern 24:736鈥?44 CrossRef
    33. Elton C, Nicholson M (1942) The ten-year cycle in numbers of the lynx in Canada. J Anim Ecol 11:215鈥?44 CrossRef
    34. Gabr M, Rao S (1981) The estimation and prediction of subset bilinear time series with applications. J Time Ser Anal 2:155鈥?71 CrossRef
    35. Tsay R (1989) Testing and modeling threshold autoregressive processes. J Am Stat Assoc 84:231鈥?40 CrossRef
    36. Terasvirta T (1994) Specification, estimation and evaluation of smooth transition autoregressive models. J Am Stat Assoc 89:208鈥?18
    37. Moran P (1953) The statistical analysis of the Canadian Lynx cycle. Aust J Zool 1:163鈥?73 CrossRef
    38. Tong H, Lim K (1980) Threshold autoregressive, limit cycle and cyclical data. J R Stat Soc B 42:245鈥?92
    39. Yao X, Liu Y, Lin GM (1999) Evolutionary programming made faster. IEEE Trans Evol Comput 3(2):82鈥?02 CrossRef
    40. Box GEP, Hunter JS, Hunter WG (2005) Statistics for experiments: design, innovation, and discovery, 2nd edn. Wiley, New York
  • 作者单位:Debao Chen (1)
    Jiangtao Wang (1)
    Feng Zou (1)
    Wujie Yuan (1)
    Weibo Hou (2)

    1. The School of Physics and Electronic Information, Huai Bei Normal University, Huaibei, 235000, China
    2. The School of Mathematical Science, Huai Bei Normal University, Huaibei, 235000, China
  • ISSN:1433-3058
文摘
The paper is focused on improving the performance of neuro-endocrine models with considering the interaction of glands. Comparing to conventional neuro-endocrine models, the concentration of hormone of one gland is modulated by those of others, and the weights of cells are modulated by the improved endocrine system. The interacted equation among all glands is designed and the parameters of them are chosen with theory analysis. Because all the parameters of the model are constants when the system reaches the equilibrium state, particle swarm optimization algorithm is utilized to search the optimal parameters of the model. The theory analysis indicates that the performance of neuro-endocrine model is better than or at least equal to that of corresponding artificial neural network. To indicate the effectiveness of the proposed model, some time series from different research fields, which are used in some literatures, are tested with the proposed model, the results indicate that the proposed model has some good performance.

© 2004-2018 中国地质图书馆版权所有 京ICP备05064691号 京公网安备11010802017129号

地址:北京市海淀区学院路29号 邮编:100083

电话:办公室:(+86 10)66554848;文献借阅、咨询服务、科技查新:66554700