The impact of United States-China relations on Taiwan's military spending (1966--1992).

详细信息   

• 作者：Yu ; Tsung-Chi Max.
• 学历：Doctor
• 年：2002
• 导师：Poe, Steven C.
• 毕业院校：University of North Texas
• 专业：Political Science, International Law and Relations.
• ISBN：9780496661886
• CBH：3118766
• Country：USA
• 语种：English
• FileSize：2667158
• Pages：172

文摘

Previous research has shown that Taiwan's military spending is affected either by China's military buildup or the U.S.'s military pipeline. This study investigates whether it is also true that an ongoing U.S.-China relationship has dynamic effects. Three major findings are obtained from the statistical analyses. First and foremost, the level of U.S.-China conflict has a contemporaneous positive effect on Taiwan's military spending. Second, the analyses also indicate that the volatility of U.S.-China relations has negative effects on Taiwan's military spending. This finding suggests that instability in U.S.-China relations will prompt Taiwan to decrease its military spending due to a higher amount of perceived security on the one hand, and Taiwan wants to avoid further provoking China on the other. Third, analyses indicate that an error correction model fares better than a simple budgetary incremental model in explaining the re-equilibrating effects of GNP growth on Taiwan's military spending. Overall, the results demonstrate the interplay of domestic and international constraints and may help to predict what will be the expected military spending when Taiwan's economy changes. I suggest that Taiwan's military spending is likely to be influenced by U.S.-China relations as well as by foreign investment and domestic economic constraints as long as the United States policy toward the Taiwan problem remains unchanged.